Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LILI-19
in Timor-Leste, Indonesia

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone LILI-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1000562
Name LILI-19
From - To 09 May - 10 May
Exposed countries Timor-Leste, Indonesia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h, Tropical storm
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (09 May 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability -- (Timor-Leste)


For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
+ Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS 83 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 86 km/h 0.5 m 0 mm 0.5
GFS 90 km/h 0.4 m 524 mm 0.5
ECMWF 79 km/h 0.3 m 517 mm 0.5
Beta Version - All weather systems in the area: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Indonesia, Timor-Leste - Tropical Cyclone LILI (ECHO 10 May 2019)Fri, 10 May 2019 13:00

  • A new Tropical Cyclone named LILI formed over the Timor Sea (Indian Ocean) on 9 May and started moving south. On 10 May at 0.00 UTC, its center was located approximately 200 km south-east of Letti Islands (southwestern Maluku Regency, eastern Indonesia) with maximum sustained winds of 74 km/h (Tropical Storm).
  • Over the next 48 hours, it is forecast to move west over the Timor Sea, slightly weakening. It could pass south of Timor-Leste on 11 March with maximum sustained winds up to 56 km/h.
  • According to the Indonesian National Board for Disaster Management (BNPB), as of 9 May, people have been displaced across the Letti Islands.
  • Over the next 24 hours, heavy rain with thunderstorms and strong winds are forecast over Letti Islands and Timor-Leste.
Detailed event map. European Union, 2015. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: JRC (146), (2), DesInventar (1), BOM (1), JTWC (1), NASA (1), NOAA (1), OCHA (1), TRMM (1), WMO (1), ECMWF (10), HWRF (5), GFS (4), INFORM (2), HOLLAND (3),