Overall Green alert Volcanic eruption for Manam
in Papua New Guinea

Volcano Ash Advisories for air traffic

Although Volcano Ash Advisories (VAAC) are not intended for assessing humanitarian impact, the observations of the plume are relevant for understanding local impact. The actual impact (like ash fall) depends on the type of eruption and is not known.

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2019-11-08 02:20

Received FVAU03 at 02:21 UTC, 08/11/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20191108/0220Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/116
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-8, RVO
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: NO ERUPTION
OBS VA DTG: 08/0220Z
OBS VA CLD: VA NOT IDENTIFIABLE FM SATELLITE DATA
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 08/0820Z NO VA EXP
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 08/1420Z NO VA EXP
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 08/2020Z NO VA EXP
RMK: GROUND OBSERVATION CONFIRMS NO ERUPTION AND NO VA IS
EXPECTED IN AREA. ADVISORY TERMINATED.
NXT ADVISORY: NO FURTHER ADVISORIES

2019-11-08 01:10

Received FVAU03 at 01:10 UTC, 08/11/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20191108/0110Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/115
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-8
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: DISCRETE EMISSIONS OBSERVED ON SAT TO
FL150 MOV WNW
OBS VA DTG: 08/0110Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL150 S0404 E14503 - S0406 E14503 - S0404 E14452 - S0358 E14450 - S0356 E14458 MOV NW 15KT
E14452 - S0358 E14450 - S0356 E14458 MOV NW 15KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 08/0710Z SFC/FL150 S0324 E14425 - S0344 E14407 - S0329 E14335 - S0256 E14358
E14407 - S0329 E14335 - S0256 E14358
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 08/1310Z NO VA EXP
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 08/1910Z NO VA EXP
RMK: POTENTIAL ERUPTION OBSERVED ON SATELLITE. MET CLOUD
OBSCURES SUMMIT LEADING TO LOW CONFIDENCE IN OBSERVATION.
AWATING GROUND CONFIRMATION, ADIVISORY WILL BE UPDATED IF
NEW INFORMATION IS RECIEVED.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20191108/0410Z

2019-11-06 10:50

Received FVAU04 at 10:49 UTC, 06/11/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20191106/1050Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/114
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-8
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: VA REPORTED TO FL100 AT 06/0919Z
EST VA DTG: 06/1050Z
EST VA CLD: VA NOT IDENTIFIABLE FM SATELLITE DATA WIND
SFC/FL100 090/15KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 06/1650Z NOT AVBL
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 06/2250Z NOT AVBL
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 07/0450Z NOT AVBL
RMK: VA ERUPTION TO FL100 REPORTED BY GROUND OBSERVER. VA
UNIDENTIFIABLE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY DUE TO MET CLOUD. HEIGHT
AND WINDS BASED ON MODEL GUIDANCE. ADVISORY WILL BE
RE-ISSUED IF NEW INFORMAITON IS RECIEVED.
NXT ADVISORY: NO FURTHER ADVISORIES

2019-11-06 07:50

Received FVAU04 at 07:50 UTC, 06/11/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20191106/0750Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/113
INFO SOURCE: RVO, CVGHM
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: RVO ADVISE INCREASING SEISMIC ACTIVITY
OBS VA DTG: 06/0750Z
OBS VA CLD: VA NOT IDENTIFIABLE FM SATELLITE DATA WINDS
SFC/FL150 120/15KT FL150/350 060/30KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 06/1350Z NOT AVBL
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 06/1950Z NOT AVBL
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 07/0150Z NOT AVBL
RMK: RVO REPORT VOLCANIC TREMORS AND CONTINUOUS INCREASE IN
SIESMIC ACTIVITY, INCREASING THE ALERT LEVEL TO STAGE 2. THE
AVIATION COLOR CODE IS INCREASED TO RED. NO VA ERUPTION
DETECTED AT THIS STAGE. ADVISORY WILL BE REISSUED IF NEW
INFORMATION IS RECEIVED.
NXT ADVISORY: NO FURTHER ADVISORIES

2019-11-06 07:50

Received FVAU04 at 07:50 UTC, 06/11/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20191106/0750Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/113
INFO SOURCE: RVO, CVGHM
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: RVO ADVISE INCREASING SEISMIC ACTIVITY
OBS VA DTG: 06/0750Z
OBS VA CLD: VA NOT IDENTIFIABLE FM SATELLITE DATA WINDS
SFC/FL150 120/15KT FL150/350 060/30KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 06/1350Z NOT AVBL
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 06/1950Z NOT AVBL
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 07/0150Z NOT AVBL
RMK: RVO REPORT VOLCANIC TREMORS AND CONTINUOUS INCREASE IN
SIESMIC ACTIVITY, INCREASING THE ALERT LEVEL TO STAGE 2. THE
AVIATION COLOR CODE IS INCREASED TO RED. NO VA ERUPTION
DETECTED AT THIS STAGE. ADVISORY WILL BE REISSUED IF NEW
INFORMATION IS RECEIVED.
NXT ADVISORY: NO FURTHER ADVISORIES

2019-10-04 23:40

Received FVAU02 at 23:41 UTC, 04/10/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20191004/2340Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/112
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-8
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: VA TO FL100 LAST OBS 04/0250Z
OBS VA DTG: 04/2340Z
OBS VA CLD: VA NOT IDENTIFIABLE FM SATELLITE DATA WINDS
SFC/FL050 240/05KT FL050/100 160/05KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 05/0540Z NO VA EXP
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 05/1140Z NO VA EXP
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 05/1740Z NO VA EXP
RMK: MET CLOUD HAS CLEARED VOLCANO, ALLOWING IDENTIFICATION
OF A STEAM/SMOKE PLUME TO FL060 MOVING EAST, WHICH DOES NOT
HAVE A VA SIGNAL. AS VA NOT IDENTIFIABLE AND NO OTHER
SOURCES INDICATE ONGOING ERUPTION, ADVISORY IS TERMINATED.
NXT ADVISORY: NO FURTHER ADVISORIES

2019-10-04 22:00

Received FVAU02 at 21:57 UTC, 04/10/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20191004/2200Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/111
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-8
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: VA TO FL100 MOV N LAST OBS 04/0250Z
EST VA DTG: 04/2200Z
EST VA CLD: SFC/FL100 S0410 E14502 - S0404 E14507 - S0340 E14459 - S0348 E14443 - S0404 E14442 MOV NW 5KT
E14459 - S0348 E14443 - S0404 E14442 MOV NW 5KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 05/0400Z SFC/FL100 S0409 E14503 - S0406 E14439 - S0352 E14439 - S0343 E14453 - S0403 E14506
E14439 - S0352 E14439 - S0343 E14453 - S0403 E14506
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 05/1000Z SFC/FL100 S0408 E14504 - S0403 E14506 - S0344 E14449 - S0352 E14436 - S0408 E14440
E14506 - S0344 E14449 - S0352 E14436 - S0408 E14440
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 05/1600Z SFC/FL100 S0409 E14503 - S0406 E14439 - S0350 E14438 - S0343 E14451 - S0404 E14507
E14439 - S0350 E14438 - S0343 E14451 - S0404 E14507
RMK: VA OBSCURED BY MET CLOUD, HOWEVER STILL EXPECTED IN
AREA. HOTSPOT AT VOLCANO SUMMIT OBS ON SAT IMG WITHIN LAST 2
HOURS. VA HEIGHT AND FORECAST MOVEMENT DERIVED FROM
HIMAWARI-8 IMAGERY AND ACCESS MODEL GUIDANCE.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20191005/0400Z

2019-10-04 16:00

Received FVAU02 at 15:58 UTC, 04/10/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20191004/1600Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/110
INFO SOURCE: HIMWARI-8
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: VA TO FL100 MOV N OBS AT 04/0250Z
EST VA DTG: 04/1600Z
EST VA CLD: SFC/FL100 S0407 E14507 - S0338 E14511 - S0340 E14451 - S0352 E14439 - S0407 E14451 - S0410 E14500 MOV NW 5KT
5KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 04/2200Z SFC/FL100 S0410 E14502 - S0404 E14442 - S0348 E14443 - S0340 E14459 - S0404 E14507
E14442 - S0348 E14443 - S0340 E14459 - S0404 E14507
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 05/0400Z SFC/FL100 S0409 E14503 - S0403 E14506 - S0342 E14456 - S0351 E14439 - S0408 E14440
E14506 - S0342 E14456 - S0351 E14439 - S0408 E14440
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 05/1000Z SFC/FL100 S0408 E14504 - S0408 E14440 - S0352 E14436 - S0344 E14449 - S0403 E14506
E14440 - S0352 E14436 - S0344 E14449 - S0403 E14506
RMK: WEAK VA EMISSION OBSERVED AT 04/0250Z, HOWEVER AREA
CURRENTLY OBSCURED BY MET CLOUD. VA HEIGHT AND FORECAST
MOVEMENT DERIVED FROM HIMAWARI-8 IMAGERY AND ACCESS MODEL
GUIDANCE.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20191004/2200Z

2019-10-04 09:54

Received FVAU02 at 09:55 UTC, 04/10/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20191004/0954Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/109
INFO SOURCE: HIMWARI-8
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: VA TO FL100 MOV N OBS AT 04/0250Z
EST VA DTG: 04/1000Z
EST VA CLD: SFC/FL100 S0409 E14500 - S0407 E14507 - S0341 E14512 - S0341 E14457 - S0348 E14442 MOV N 10KT
E14512 - S0341 E14457 - S0348 E14442 MOV N 10KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 04/1600Z SFC/FL100 S0407 E14507 - S0410 E14500 - S0407 E14451 - S0352 E14439 - S0340 E14451 - S0338 E14511
E14511
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 04/2200Z SFC/FL100 S0410 E14502 - S0404 E14507 - S0340 E14459 - S0348 E14443 - S0404 E14442
E14507 - S0340 E14459 - S0348 E14443 - S0404 E14442
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 05/0400Z SFC/FL100 S0409 E14503 - S0405 E14442 - S0351 E14439 - S0342 E14456 - S0403 E14506
E14442 - S0351 E14439 - S0342 E14456 - S0403 E14506
RMK: WEAK VA EMISSION OBSERVED AT 04/0250Z, HOWEVER AREA
CURRENTLY OBSCURED BY MET CLOUD. VA HEIGHT AND FORECAST
MOVEMENT DERIVED FROM HIMAWARI-8 IMAGERY AND ACCESS MODEL
GUIDANCE.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20191004/1600Z

2019-10-04 04:00

Received FVAU02 at 03:57 UTC, 04/10/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20191004/0400Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/108
INFO SOURCE: HIMWARI-8
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: VA TO FL100 MOV N OBS AT 04/0250Z
EST VA DTG: 04/0400Z
EST VA CLD: SFC/FL100 S0409 E14501 - S0407 E14506 - S0345 E14506 - S0345 E14456 - S0350 E14448 MOV N 10KT
E14506 - S0345 E14456 - S0350 E14448 MOV N 10KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 04/1000Z SFC/FL100 S0409 E14500 - S0348 E14442 - S0341 E14457 - S0341 E14512 - S0407 E14507
E14442 - S0341 E14457 - S0341 E14512 - S0407 E14507
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 04/1600Z SFC/FL100 S0407 E14507 - S0338 E14511 - S0340 E14451 - S0352 E14439 - S0407 E14451 - S0410 E14500
E14500
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 04/2200Z SFC/FL100 S0410 E14502 - S0404 E14442 - S0348 E14443 - S0340 E14459 - S0404 E14507
E14442 - S0348 E14443 - S0340 E14459 - S0404 E14507
RMK: WEAK VA EMISSION OBSERVED AT 04/0250Z, HOWEVER AREA
CURRENTLY OBSCURED BY MET CLOUD. VA HEIGHT AND FORECAST
MOVEMENT DERIVED FROM HIMAWARI-8 IMAGERY AND ACCESS MODEL
GUIDANCE.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20191004/1000Z

2019-10-03 22:00

Received FVAU02 at 21:57 UTC, 03/10/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20191003/2200Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/107
INFO SOURCE: HIMWARI-8
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: VA LAST OBS TO FL100 MOV N AT 03/0540Z
EST VA DTG: 03/2200Z
EST VA CLD: SFC/FL100 S0409 E14459 - S0407 E14507 - S0359 E14512 - S0312 E14505 - S0311 E14431 - S0349 E14433 MOV N 5KT
5KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 04/0400Z SFC/FL100 S0409 E14459 - S0356 E14434 - S0323 E14432 - S0318 E14508 - S0356 E14517 - S0407 E14507
E14507
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 04/1000Z SFC/FL100 S0414 E14507 - S0400 E14518 - S0328 E14513 - S0337 E14433 - S0409 E14446
E14518 - S0328 E14513 - S0337 E14433 - S0409 E14446
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 04/1600Z SFC/FL100 S0413 E14458 - S0403 E14448 - S0340 E14448 - S0332 E14520 - S0403 E14523 - S0412 E14509
E14509
RMK: VA UNIDENTIFIABLE ON SAT IMAGERY DUE TO MET CLOUD. VA
HEIGHT AND FORECAST MOVEMENT DERIVED FROM HIMAWARI-8 IMAGERY
AND ACCESS MODEL GUIDANCE.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20191004/0400Z

2019-10-03 16:00

Received FVAU02 at 15:54 UTC, 03/10/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20191003/1600Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/106
INFO SOURCE: HIMWARI-8
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: VA LAST OBS TO FL100 EXT N AT 03/0540Z.
EST VA DTG: 03/1600Z
EST VA CLD: SFC/FL100 S0408 E14458 - S0407 E14507 - S0355 E14512 - S0312 E14507 - S0311 E14432 - S0345 E14434 MOV N 5KT
5KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 03/2200Z SFC/FL100 S0409 E14459 - S0349 E14433 - S0311 E14431 - S0312 E14505 - S0359 E14512 - S0407 E14507
E14507
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 04/0400Z SFC/FL100 S0409 E14459 - S0407 E14507 - S0345 E14512 - S0312 E14456 - S0325 E14419 - S0358 E14431
E14431
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 04/1000Z SFC/FL100 S0414 E14507 - S0414 E14431 - S0334 E14423 - S0330 E14509 - S0402 E14514
E14431 - S0334 E14423 - S0330 E14509 - S0402 E14514
RMK: VA UNIDENTIFIABLE ON LATEST SAT IMAGERY DUE TO MET
CLOUD AND DARKNESS. A HOT SPOT REMAINS EVIDENT ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY. HEIGHT AND FORECAST BASED ON HIMAWARI-8 AND ACCESS
MODEL GUIDANCE.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20191003/2200Z

2019-10-03 10:00

Received FVAU02 at 09:58 UTC, 03/10/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20191003/1000Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/105
INFO SOURCE: HIMWARI-8
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: VA LAST OBS TO FL100 EXT N AT 03/0540Z.
EST VA DTG: 03/1000Z
EST VA CLD: SFC/FL100 S0407 E14458 - S0346 E14439 - S0316 E14438 - S0316 E14520 - S0342 E14518 - S0407 E14506 MOV N 5KT
5KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 03/1600Z SFC/FL100 S0408 E14458 - S0345 E14434 - S0311 E14432 - S0312 E14507 - S0355 E14512 - S0407 E14507
E14507
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 03/2200Z SFC/FL100 S0409 E14459 - S0407 E14507 - S0359 E14512 - S0312 E14505 - S0311 E14431 - S0349 E14433
E14433
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 04/0400Z SFC/FL100 S0409 E14459 - S0352 E14430 - S0315 E14419 - S0312 E14456 - S0340 E14510 - S0407 E14507
E14507
RMK: VA UNIDENTIFIABLE ON LATEST SAT IMAGERY DUE TO MET
CLOUD AND DARKNESS. A HOT SPOT REMAINS EVIDENT ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY. HEIGHT AND FORECAST BASED ON HIMAWARI-8 AND ACCESS
MODEL GUIDANCE.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20191003/1600Z

2019-10-03 04:00

Received FVAU02 at 03:54 UTC, 03/10/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20191003/0400Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/104
INFO SOURCE: HIMWARI-8
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: VA TO FL100 MOV N
OBS VA DTG: 03/0400Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL100 S0407 E14506 - S0341 E14519 - S0316 E14520 - S0317 E14446 - S0346 E14446 - S0408 E14458 MOV N 10KT
10KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 03/1000Z SFC/FL100 S0407 E14506 - S0342 E14518 - S0316 E14520 - S0316 E14438 - S0346 E14439 - S0407 E14458
E14458
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 03/1600Z SFC/FL100 S0408 E14458 - S0407 E14507 - S0355 E14512 - S0312 E14507 - S0311 E14432 - S0345 E14434
E14434
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 03/2200Z SFC/FL100 S0409 E14459 - S0349 E14433 - S0311 E14431 - S0312 E14505 - S0359 E14512 - S0407 E14507
E14507
RMK: VA SEEN ON VIS SATELLITE IMAGERY EXTENDING TO THE N. IR
TEMP CANNOT BE DETERMINED DUE TO DIFFUSE VA CLOUD. HEIGHT
AND MOV BASED ON ACCESS MODEL.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20191003/1000Z

2019-10-02 22:00

Received FVAU02 at 21:57 UTC, 02/10/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20191002/2200Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/103
INFO SOURCE: HIMWARI-8
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: VA TO FL100 MOV NW
OBS VA DTG: 02/2200Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL100 S0405 E14506 - S0407 E14459 - S0351 E14440 - S0310 E14427 - S0305 E14449 MOV NW 5KT
E14440 - S0310 E14427 - S0305 E14449 MOV NW 5KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 03/0400Z SFC/FL100 S0404 E14506 - S0409 E14500 - S0351 E14438 - S0311 E14422 - S0303 E14451 - S0340 E14505
E14505
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 03/1000Z SFC/FL100 S0408 E14501 - S0353 E14437 - S0311 E14421 - S0303 E14451 - S0337 E14506 - S0403 E14507
E14507
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 03/1600Z SFC/FL100 S0407 E14500 - S0403 E14444 - S0343 E14440 - S0311 E14441 - S0304 E14503 - S0325 E14515 - S0407 E14507
E14515 - S0407 E14507
RMK: VA SEEN ON VIS SATELLITE IMAGERY EXTENDING TO THE NW.
IR TEMP CANNOT BE DETERMINED DUE TO DIFFUSE VA CLOUD. HEIGHT
AND MOV BASED ON MODEL CONSENSUS.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20191003/0400Z

2019-09-30 08:00

Received FVAU03 at 07:56 UTC, 30/09/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190930/0800Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/102
INFO SOURCE: RVO, HIMAWARI-8, RSAM
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: RVO ADVISE INCREASED SEISMIC ACTIVITY
OBS VA DTG: 30/0800Z
OBS VA CLD: VA NOT IDENTIFIABLE FM SATELLITE DATA WINDS
SFC/FL150 130/20KT FL150/300 090/25KT FL300/500 070/20KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 30/1400Z NOT AVBL
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 30/2000Z NOT AVBL
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 01/0200Z NOT AVBL
RMK: ACC RAISED TO RED BASED ON ADVICE FROM RVO. STEAM/SMOKE
EMISSION ONGOING AT VOLCANO WITH PERSISTENT HOTSPOT AND
INCREASED SEISMIC ACTIVITY. NO VA ERUPTION DETECTED AT THIS
STAGE. ADVISORY WILL BE REISSUED IF NEW INFORMATION IS

2019-09-29 07:10

Received FVAU03 at 07:05 UTC, 29/09/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190929/0710Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/101
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-8
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: ORANGE
ERUPTION DETAILS: VA LAST OBS TO FL090 EXT W
OBS VA DTG: 29/0710Z
OBS VA CLD: VA NOT IDENTIFIABLE FM SATELLITE DATA WIND
SFC/FL090 110/15KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 29/1310Z NO VA EXP
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 29/1910Z NO VA EXP
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 30/0110Z NO VA EXP
RMK: CURRENT RGB IMAGERY SHOW NIL SIGNAL FOR SO2 SUGGESTING
PLUME NO LONGER CONTAINS VA. STEAM/SMOKE STILL OBS EXT W ON
VIS IMG. LARGE HOTSPOT REMAINS AT MANAM. NO FURTHER REPORTS
OF NEW OR ONGOING VA ERUPTION. ADVISORY TERMINATED.
NXT ADVISORY: NO FURTHER ADVISORIES

2019-09-29 02:00

Received FVAU03 at 01:55 UTC, 29/09/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190929/0200Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/100
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-8
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: ORANGE
ERUPTION DETAILS: CONTINUOUS WEAK VA EMISSION TO FL090 EXTD
W
OBS VA DTG: 29/0200Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL090 S0407 E14504 - S0405 E14505 - S0321 E14357 - S0350 E14343 - S0403 E14417 MOV W 10KT
E14357 - S0350 E14343 - S0403 E14417 MOV W 10KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 29/0800Z SFC/FL090 S0407 E14504 - S0404 E14505 - S0309 E14356 - S0340 E14336 - S0402 E14401
E14505 - S0309 E14356 - S0340 E14336 - S0402 E14401
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 29/1400Z SFC/FL090 S0407 E14503 - S0404 E14505 - S0309 E14357 - S0356 E14340
E14505 - S0309 E14357 - S0356 E14340
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 29/2000Z SFC/FL090 S0408 E14503 - S0339 E14335 - S0255 E14401 - S0404 E14505
E14335 - S0255 E14401 - S0404 E14505
RMK: VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOW WEAK VA PLUME EXTD W FROM SUMMIT
SUPPORTED BY SO2 EMISSION. HEIGHT AND FORECAST BASED
HIMAWARI-8, AND MODEL GUIDANCE.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20190929/0800Z

2019-09-28 21:30

Received FVAU03 at 21:26 UTC, 28/09/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190928/2130Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/99
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-8
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: ORANGE
ERUPTION DETAILS: CONTINUOUS VA EMISSIONS TO FL080 EXTD W
OBS VA DTG: 28/2130Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL080 S0408 E14504 - S0404 E14432 - S0405 E14403 - S0342 E14404 - S0343 E14435 - S0404 E14506 MOV W 10KT
10KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 29/0330Z SFC/FL080 S0408 E14504 - S0353 E14347 - S0316 E14406 - S0404 E14506
E14347 - S0316 E14406 - S0404 E14506
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 29/0930Z SFC/FL080 S0409 E14504 - S0345 E14333 - S0310 E14357 - S0404 E14507
E14333 - S0310 E14357 - S0404 E14507
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 29/1530Z SFC/FL080 S0404 E14506 - S0409 E14504 - S0350 E14330 - S0309 E14357
E14504 - S0350 E14330 - S0309 E14357
RMK: VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOW WEAK VA PLUME EXTD W FROM SUMMIT
SUPPORTED BY SO2 EMISSION. HEIGHT AND FORECAST BASED
HIMAWARI-8, AND MODEL GUIDANCE.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20190929/0330Z

2019-07-20 22:00

Received FVAU03 at 21:59 UTC, 20/07/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190720/2200Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/98
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-8
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: VA TO FL140 LAST OBS 20/1910Z EXT W
OBS VA DTG: 20/2200Z
OBS VA CLD: VA NOT IDENTIFIABLE FM SATELLITE DATA WIND
SFC/FL140 105/15KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 21/0400Z NO VA EXP
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 21/1000Z NO VA EXP
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 21/1600Z NO VA EXP
RMK: LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT VA EMISSIONS
FROM MANAM HAVE DECREASED BELOW DISCERNIBLE LEVELS. NO
EVIDENCE OF NEW OR ONGOING ERUPTION. ADVISORY TERMINATED.
NXT ADVISORY: NO FURTHER ADVISORIES

2019-07-20 19:00

Received FVAU03 at 18:49 UTC, 20/07/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190720/1900Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/97
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-8
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: VA TO FL140 EXT SW
OBS VA DTG: 20/1900Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL140 S0401 E14502 - S0401 E14502 - S0404 E14505 - S0420 E14451 - S0409 E14443 - S0409 E14443 MOV SW 15KT
15KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 21/0100Z SFC/FL140 S0402 E14503 - S0406 E14504 - S0421 E14450 - S0409 E14439 - S0356 E14448
E14504 - S0421 E14450 - S0409 E14439 - S0356 E14448
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 21/0700Z SFC/FL140 S0401 E14503 - S0406 E14504 - S0420 E14450 - S0409 E14439 - S0357 E14448
E14504 - S0420 E14450 - S0409 E14439 - S0357 E14448
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 21/1300Z SFC/FL140 S0402 E14503 - S0406 E14504 - S0420 E14450 - S0410 E14439 - S0357 E14448
E14504 - S0420 E14450 - S0410 E14439 - S0357 E14448
RMK: VA SEEN ON RGB SATELLITE IMAGERY EXTENDING TO SW. VA
HEIGHT TO FL140 BASED ON IR TEMP OF 7 DEG.CURRENT VA
MOVEMENT DO NOT MATCH MODEL WINDS.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20190721/0100Z

2019-07-12 07:35

Received FVAU04 at 07:42 UTC, 12/07/19 from NZKL
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190712/0735Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/96
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-8
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: CONTINUOUS VA TO FL120 LAST OBS 12/0530Z
EXT NW
OBS VA DTG: 12/0735Z
OBS VA CLD: VA NOT IDENTIFIABLE FM SATELLITE DATA WIND
SFC/FL120 150/10KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 12/1335Z NO VA EXP
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 12/1935Z NO VA EXP
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 13/0135Z NO VA EXP
RMK: LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT VA CONTENT AT
MANAM HAS FALLEN BELOW DISCERNIBLE LEVELS. NO EVIDENCE OF
NEW OR ONGOING VA EMISSION HOWEVER STEAM/SO2 PLUME REMAINS.
ADVISORY TERMINATED.
NXT ADVISORY: NO FURTHER ADVISORIES

2019-07-12 01:39

Received FVAU04 at 01:42 UTC, 12/07/19 from NZKL
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190712/0139Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/95
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-8
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: CONTINUOUS VA TO FL120 EXT N
OBS VA DTG: 12/0140Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL120 S0408 E14500 - S0342 E14453 - S0321 E14440 - S0319 E14513 - S0339 E14505 - S0407 E14505 MOV N 5KT
5KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 12/0740Z SFC/FL120 S0406 E14505 - S0407 E14501 - S0325 E14424 - S0313 E14458
E14501 - S0325 E14424 - S0313 E14458
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 12/1340Z SFC/FL120 S0405 E14505 - S0407 E14503 - S0353 E14408 - S0323 E14430
E14503 - S0353 E14408 - S0323 E14430
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 12/1940Z SFC/FL120 S0403 E14504 - S0407 E14504 - S0425 E14409 - S0341 E14413
E14504 - S0425 E14409 - S0341 E14413
RMK: LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT VA CONTENT IN
MANAM PLUME HAS INCREASED. HEIGHT BASED ON IR TEMP OF 11C.
FORECAST BASED ON HIMAWARI-8 AND MODEL GUIDANCE.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20190712/0740Z

2019-07-06 12:05

Received FVAU04 at 12:21 UTC, 06/07/19 from NZKL
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190706/1205Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/94
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-8
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: CONTINUOUS VA EMISSION TO FL180 LAST OBS
EXT NW AT 06/0800Z
OBS VA DTG: 06/1205Z
OBS VA CLD: VA NOT IDENTIFIABLE FM SATELLITE DATA WIND
SFC/FL180 120/20KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 06/1805Z NO VA EXP
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 07/0005Z NO VA EXP
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 07/0605Z NO VA EXP
RMK: LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT VA EMISSIONS
FROM MANAM HAVE FALLEN BELOW DETECTABLE LEVELS. STRONG
SO2/STEAM PLUME REMAINS. ADVISORY TERMINATED.
NXT ADVISORY: NO FURTHER ADVISORIES

2019-07-06 06:35

Received FVAU04 at 06:27 UTC, 06/07/19 from NZKL
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190706/0635Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/93
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-8
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: CONTINUOUS VA EMISSION TO FL180 MOV NW
OBS VA DTG: 06/0635Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL180 S0407 E14502 - S0404 E14504 - S0341 E14434 - S0354 E14429 MOV NW 15KT
E14434 - S0354 E14429 MOV NW 15KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 06/1235Z SFC/FL180 S0407 E14502 - S0403 E14503 - S0344 E14432 - S0357 E14425
E14503 - S0344 E14432 - S0357 E14425
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 06/1835Z SFC/FL180 S0407 E14502 - S0403 E14504 - S0344 E14432 - S0357 E14426
E14504 - S0344 E14432 - S0357 E14426
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 07/0035Z SFC/FL180 S0407 E14502 - S0401 E14423 - S0346 E14429 - S0403 E14504
E14423 - S0346 E14429 - S0403 E14504
RMK: VA EMISSION TO FL180 DISCERNIBLE ON 06/0550Z VIS
SATELLITE IMAGERY MOV NW. HEIGHT AND FORECAST BASED ON IR
TEMP OF -3, HIMAWARI-8 AND MODEL GUIDANCE.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20190706/1235Z

2019-07-06 00:37

Received FVAU04 at 00:38 UTC, 06/07/19 from NZKL
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190706/0037Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/92
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-8
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: CONTINUOUS VA EMISSION TO FL200 MOV W
OBS VA DTG: 06/0037Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL200 S0406 E14504 - S0400 E14424 - S0345 E14429 - S0404 E14504 MOV W 15KT
E14429 - S0404 E14504 MOV W 15KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 06/0637Z SFC/FL200 S0404 E14504 - S0407 E14502 - S0400 E14424 - S0346 E14429
E14502 - S0400 E14424 - S0346 E14429
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 06/1237Z SFC/FL200 S0403 E14503 - S0407 E14502 - S0400 E14424 - S0345 E14429
E14502 - S0400 E14424 - S0345 E14429
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 06/1837Z SFC/FL200 S0403 E14504 - S0407 E14502 - S0400 E14424 - S0345 E14429
E14502 - S0400 E14424 - S0345 E14429
RMK: VA EMISSION TO FL200 DISCERNIBLE ON 06/0010Z VIS
SATELLITE IMAGERY MOV W. HEIGHT AND FORECAST BASED ON IR
TEMP OF -6, HIMAWARI-8 AND MODEL GUIDANCE.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20190706/0637Z

2019-06-30 08:34

Received FVAU03 at 08:35 UTC, 30/06/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190630/0834Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/91
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-8
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: VA TO FL080 LAST OBSERVED AT 30/0700Z.
OBS VA DTG: 30/0834Z
OBS VA CLD: VA NOT IDENTIFIABLE FM SATELLITE DATA WIND
SFC/FL080 100/10KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 30/1434Z NO VA EXP
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 30/2034Z NO VA EXP
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 01/0234Z NO VA EXP
RMK: VA IS NO LONGER IDENTIFIABLE ON SAT IMAGE AND IS
ECXPECTED TO HAVE DISSIPATED. THERMAL ANOMALIES OBSERVED ON
SATELLITE IMAGERY. ONGOING STEAM EMISSION POSSIBLE. ADVISORY
TERMINATED.
NXT ADVISORY: NO FURTHER ADVISORIES

2019-06-30 03:16

Received FVAU03 at 03:17 UTC, 30/06/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190630/0316Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/90
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-8
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: CONTINUOUS VA TO FL080 EXT TO W.
OBS VA DTG: 30/0316Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL080 S0400 E14505 - S0406 E14505 - S0417 E14422 - S0337 E14422 MOV W 10KT
E14422 - S0337 E14422 MOV W 10KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 30/0916Z SFC/FL080 S0405 E14505 - S0417 E14422 - S0335 E14423 - S0357 E14504
E14422 - S0335 E14423 - S0357 E14504
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 30/1516Z SFC/FL080 S0358 E14503 - S0406 E14502 - S0420 E14421 - S0329 E14421
E14502 - S0420 E14421 - S0329 E14421
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 30/2116Z SFC/FL080 S0404 E14504 - S0421 E14421 - S0327 E14421 - S0358 E14504
E14421 - S0327 E14421 - S0358 E14504
RMK: LOW LEVEL VA OBSEREVD ON SAT IMAGERY. VA HEIGHT AND
MOVEMENT BASED ON HIMAWARI-8 IMAGERY AND MODEL GUIDANCE.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20190630/0916Z

2019-06-29 09:45

Received FVAU03 at 09:49 UTC, 29/06/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190629/0945Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/89
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-8, RVO
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: ERUPTION LAST OBSERVED TO FL150 AT
28/0550Z
OBS VA DTG: 29/0945Z
OBS VA CLD: VA NOT IDENTIFIABLE FM SATELLITE DATA WIND
SFC/FL150 060/10KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 29/1545Z NO VA EXP
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 29/2145Z NO VA EXP
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 30/0345Z NO VA EXP
RMK: VA HAS NOT BEEN IDENTIFIABLE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY FOR
24 HOURS. CURRENT DATA SOURCES DO NOT IDENTIFY AN ONGOING
ERUPTION. HOTSPOT OBSERVED ON SATELLTE IMAGERY. ONGOING
STEAM EMISSION IS LIKELY. ADVISORY TERMINATED DUE TO LACK OF
REPORTS.
NXT ADVISORY: NO FURTHER ADVISORIES

2019-06-29 03:45

Received FVAU03 at 03:42 UTC, 29/06/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190629/0345Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/88
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-8, RVO
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: POSSIBLE VA EMISSION TO FL150, MOV SW.
OBS VA DTG: 29/0345Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL150 S0405 E14508 - S0357 E14506 - S0347 E14206 - S0603 E14254 MOV SW 10KT
E14206 - S0603 E14254 MOV SW 10KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 29/0945Z SFC/FL150 S0405 E14509 - S0552 E14250 - S0349 E14206 - S0355 E14507
E14250 - S0349 E14206 - S0355 E14507
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 29/1545Z SFC/FL150 S0405 E14507 - S0357 E14506 - S0333 E14207 - S0542 E14240
E14506 - S0333 E14207 - S0542 E14240
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 29/2145Z SFC/FL150 S0406 E14507 - S0539 E14234 - S0325 E14202 - S0357 E14507
E14234 - S0325 E14202 - S0357 E14507
RMK: RVO REPORT ONGOING ERUPTION TO FL150 AT 28/0550Z. VA
REMAIN OBSCURED BY MET CLOUD. FORECAST BASED ON MODEL
GUIDANCE.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20190629/0945Z

2019-06-28 21:45

Received FVAU03 at 21:46 UTC, 28/06/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190628/2145Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/87
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-8, RVO
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: CONTINUOUS VA EMISSION TO FL150 MOV SW.
OBS VA DTG: 28/2145Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL150 S0408 E14512 - S0355 E14509 - S0341 E14201 - S0544 E14237 MOV SW 10KT
E14201 - S0544 E14237 MOV SW 10KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 29/0345Z SFC/FL150 S0410 E14512 - S0543 E14247 - S0344 E14205 - S0354 E14509
E14247 - S0344 E14205 - S0354 E14509
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 29/0945Z SFC/FL150 S0408 E14511 - S0355 E14507 - S0359 E14201 - S0615 E14250
E14507 - S0359 E14201 - S0615 E14250
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 29/1545Z SFC/FL150 S0410 E14511 - S0542 E14240 - S0344 E14205 - S0354 E14509
E14240 - S0344 E14205 - S0354 E14509
RMK: VA FROM HIGH LEVEL ERUPTION HAS DISSIPATED AND NO
LONGER VISIBLE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. RVO REPORT ONGOING
ERUPTION TO FL150 AT 28/0550Z. VA REMAIN OBSCURED BY MET
CLOUD. FORECAST BASED ON MODEL GUIDANCE.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20190629/0345Z

2019-06-28 15:45

Received FVAU03 at 15:45 UTC, 28/06/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190628/1545Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/86
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-8, RVO
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: CONTINUOUS VA EMISSION TO FL150 MOV W.
OBS VA DTG: 28/1545Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL150 S0411 E14520 - S0340 E14505 - S0330 E14204 - S0542 E14239 MOV W 15KT
E14204 - S0542 E14239 MOV W 15KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 28/2145Z SFC/FL150 S0406 E14518 - S0544 E14237 - S0341 E14201 - S0339 E14507
E14237 - S0341 E14201 - S0339 E14507
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 29/0345Z SFC/FL150 S0416 E14520 - S0342 E14508 - S0344 E14205 - S0543 E14247
E14508 - S0344 E14205 - S0543 E14247
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 29/0945Z SFC/FL150 S0348 E14507 - S0411 E14520 - S0615 E14250 - S0359 E14201
E14520 - S0615 E14250 - S0359 E14201
RMK: VA FROM HIGH LEVEL ERUPTION HAS DISSIPATED AND NO
LONGER VISIBLE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. RVO REPORT ONGOING
ERUPTION TO FL150 AT 28/0550Z AIDED BY SUPERHEATED
PYROCLASTIC FLOW TO W AND NE OF MANAM. VA OBSCURED BY MET
CLOUD. FORECAST BASED ON MODEL GUIDANCE.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20190628/2145Z

2019-06-28 09:45

Received FVAU03 at 09:43 UTC, 28/06/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190628/0945Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/85
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-8, RVO
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: VA TO FL500 MOV SW, VA TO FL150 MOV W.
OBS VA DTG: 28/0945Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL150 S0407 E14517 - S0334 E14504 - S0310 E14306 - S0459 E14408 MOV W 15KT SFC/FL500 S0542 E14410 - S0404 E14216 - S0516 E14123 - S0737 E14103 - S0738 E14434 - S0611 E14406 MOV S 20KT
S0611 E14406 MOV S 20KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 28/1545Z SFC/FL150 S0407 E14518 - S0523 E14337 - S0310 E14235 - S0334 E14505 SFC/FL400 S0629 E14411 - S0731 E14336 - S0845 E14429 - S0905 E14054 - S0747 E14003 - S0632 E13959 - S0555 E14117
- S0632 E13959 - S0555 E14117
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 28/2145Z SFC/FL150 S0406 E14518 - S0335 E14505 - S0320 E14221 - S0534 E14300
E14505 - S0320 E14221 - S0534 E14300
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 29/0345Z SFC/FL150 S0404 E14518 - S0533 E14259 - S0323 E14219 - S0335 E14505
E14259 - S0323 E14219 - S0335 E14505
RMK: PRIMARY ASH TO FL500 DETACHED FROM THE VOLCANO AND
CONTINUES MOVING SW. TRACES OF ASH TO FL500 STILL
DISCERNIBLE ON MULTISPECTRAL SAT IMAGERY, HOWEVER THE SIGNAL
IS LARGERLY SO2 RICH. VA TO FL500 IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE
WITHIN 12HRS. RVO REPORT ONGOING ERUPTION TO FL150 FURTHER
AIDED BY SUPERHEATED PYROCLASTIC FLOW TO THE WEST AND
NORTHEAST OF MANAM.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20190628/1545Z

2019-06-28 08:43

Received FVAU03 at 08:44 UTC, 28/06/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190628/0843Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/84
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-8, RVO
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: VA TO FL500 MOV SW, VA TO FL150 MOV W.
OBS VA DTG: 28/0843Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL150 S0407 E14517 - S0334 E14504 - S0310 E14306 - S0459 E14408 MOV W 15KT SFC/FL500 S0542 E14410 - S0404 E14216 - S0516 E14123 - S0737 E14103 - S0738 E14434 - S0611 E14406
S0611 E14406
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 28/1443Z SFC/FL150 S0407 E14518 - S0523 E14337 - S0310 E14235 - S0334 E14505 SFC/FL400 S0629 E14411 - S0731 E14336 - S0845 E14429 - S0905 E14054 - S0747 E14003 - S0632 E13959 - S0555 E14117
- S0632 E13959 - S0555 E14117
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 28/2043Z SFC/FL150 S0406 E14518 - S0335 E14505 - S0320 E14221 - S0534 E14300
E14505 - S0320 E14221 - S0534 E14300
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 29/0243Z SFC/FL150 S0404 E14518 - S0533 E14259 - S0323 E14219 - S0335 E14505
E14259 - S0323 E14219 - S0335 E14505
RMK: PRIMARY ASH TO FL500 DETACHED FROM THE VOLCANO AND
CONTINUES MOVING SW. TRACES OF ASH TO FL150 STILL
DISCERNIBLE ON MULTISPECTRAL SAT IMAGERY, HOWEVER THE SIGNAL
IS LARGERLY SO2 RICH. VA TO FL500 IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE
WITHIN 12HRS. RVO REPORT ONGOING ERUPTION TO FL150 FURTHER
AIDED BY SUPERHEATED PYROCLASTIC FLOW TO THE WEST AND
NORTHEAST OF MANAM.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20190628/1443Z

2019-06-28 07:00

Received FVAU03 at 06:59 UTC, 28/06/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190628/0700Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/83
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-8, RVO
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: VA TO FL500 MOV SW, VA TO FL150 MOV W.
OBS VA DTG: 28/0700Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL150 S0407 E14517 - S0334 E14504 - S0312 E14341 - S0442 E14503 SFC/FL500 S0441 E14503 - S0312 E14341 - S0516 E14123 - S0737 E14103 - S0738 E14434 - S0611 E14406
- S0516 E14123 - S0737 E14103 - S0738 E14434 - S0611 E14406
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 28/1300Z SFC/FL150 S0407 E14518 - S0504 E14401 - S0307 E14256 - S0334 E14505 SFC/FL400 S0629 E14411 - S0749 E14418 - S0858 E14546 - S0905 E14138 - S0743 E14035 - S0555 E14117
- S0555 E14117
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 28/1900Z SFC/FL150 S0406 E14518 - S0335 E14505 - S0323 E14241 - S0526 E14334
E14505 - S0323 E14241 - S0526 E14334
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 29/0100Z SFC/FL150 S0404 E14518 - S0527 E14334 - S0323 E14239 - S0335 E14505
E14334 - S0323 E14239 - S0335 E14505
RMK: PRIMARY ASH TO FL500 HAS BECOME DETACHED FROM THE
VOLCANO AND CONTINUES MOVING SW. TRACES OF ASH TO FL150
STILL DISCERNIBLE ON MULTISPECTRAL SAT IMAGERY, HOWEVER THE
SIGNAL IS LARGERLY SO2 RICH. VA TO FL500 IS EXPECTED TO
DISSIPATE WITHIN 12HRS. RVO REPORT ONGOING ERUPTION TO FL150
FURTHER AIDED BY SUPERHEATED PYROCLASTIC FLOW TO THE WEST
AND NORTHEAST OF MANAM.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20190628/1300Z

2019-06-28 04:30

Received FVAU03 at 04:33 UTC, 28/06/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190628/0430Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/82
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-8, RVO
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: CONTINUOUS VA EMISSION TO FL500 MOV SW.
OBS VA DTG: 28/0430Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL500 S0406 E14510 - S0521 E14433 - S0638 E14426 - S0610 E14213 - S0443 E14232 - S0341 E14324 - S0352 E14502 MOV SW 25KT
E14502 MOV SW 25KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 28/1030Z SFC/FL150 S0408 E14510 - S0504 E14437 - S0348 E14340 - S0350 E14504 SFC/FL500 S0510 E14437 - S0610 E14428 - S0806 E14437 - S0717 E14156 - S0546 E14149 - S0414 E14259
- S0414 E14259
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 28/1630Z SFC/FL150 S0407 E14510 - S0350 E14505 - S0321 E14310 - S0518 E14351 SFC/FL400 S0637 E14420 - S0558 E14145 - S0805 E14128 - S0919 E14218 - S0948 E14533 - S0815 E14432
- S0815 E14432
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 28/2230Z SFC/FL150 S0406 E14512 - S0531 E14335 - S0300 E14247 - S0349 E14504 SFC/FL350 S0823 E14557 - S1024 E14754 - S0918 E14017 - S0731 E14101
- S1024 E14754 - S0918 E14017 - S0731 E14101
RMK: CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE ONGOING ERUPTION TO
FL500. VA HEIGHT AND MOVEMENT BASED ON HIMAWARI-8 IMAGERY
AND MODEL GUIDANCE.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20190628/0800Z

2019-06-28 01:30

Received FVAU03 at 01:30 UTC, 28/06/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190628/0130Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/81
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-8, RVO
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: CONTINUOUS VA ERUPTION TO FL500 MOV SW
OBS VA DTG: 28/0130Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL500 S0406 E14507 - S0353 E14501 - S0401 E14412 - S0447 E14253 - S0543 E14333 - S0450 E14440 MOV SW 30KT
30KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 28/0730Z SFC/FL500 S0406 E14510 - S0352 E14502 - S0355 E14406 - S0503 E14114 - S0718 E14208 - S0706 E14327
E14327
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 28/1330Z SFC/FL150 S0407 E14511 - S0348 E14502 - S0322 E14315 - S0505 E14405 SFC/FL500 S0440 E14212 - S0546 E13939 - S0905 E14151 - S0649 E14332
- S0546 E13939 - S0905 E14151 - S0649 E14332
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 28/1930Z SFC/FL150 S0407 E14510 - S0505 E14406 - S0302 E14306 - S0350 E14505 SFC/FL500 S0525 E14033 - S0808 E14231 - S1032 E14123 - S0620 E13752
- S0808 E14231 - S1032 E14123 - S0620 E13752
RMK: CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE ONGOING ERUPTION TO
FL500. VA HEIGHT AND MOVEMENT BASED ON HIMAWARI-8 IMAGERY
AND MODEL GUIDANCE.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20190628/0430Z

2019-06-28 00:07

Received FVAU03 at 00:08 UTC, 28/06/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190628/0007Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/80
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-8, RVO
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: CONTINUOUS VA TO FL500 MOV SW.
OBS VA DTG: 28/0020Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL500 S0406 E14506 - S0425 E14454 - S0456 E14400 - S0413 E14400 - S0358 E14423 - S0400 E14503 MOV SW 30KT
30KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 28/0620Z SFC/FL500 S0354 E14500 - S0406 E14507 - S0428 E14455 - S0535 E14325 - S0430 E14303 - S0358 E14421 - S0358 E14503
E14421 - S0358 E14503
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 28/1220Z SFC/FL150 S0407 E14511 - S0445 E14429 - S0350 E14402 - S0351 E14501 SFC/FL500 S0445 E14429 - S0614 E14240 - S0455 E14141 - S0405 E14409
- S0614 E14240 - S0455 E14141 - S0405 E14409
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 28/1820Z SFC/FL150 S0407 E14511 - S0453 E14359 - S0333 E14319 - S0348 E14502 SFC/FL500 S0533 E14332 - S0658 E14148 - S0512 E14047 - S0431 E14254
- S0658 E14148 - S0512 E14047 - S0431 E14254
RMK: CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE ONGOING ERUPTION TO
FL500. VA HEIGHT AND MOVEMENT BASED ON HIMAWARI-8 IMAGERY
AND MODEL GUIDANCE.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20190628/0130Z

2019-06-27 23:35

Received FVAU03 at 23:35 UTC, 27/06/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190627/2335Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/79
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-8, RVO
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: VA TO FL500 OBS AT 27/2310Z.
OBS VA DTG: 27/2335Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL500 S0407 E14506 - S0440 E14424 - S0420 E14411 - S0401 E14454 - S0400 E14504 MOV SW 30KT
E14411 - S0401 E14454 - S0400 E14504 MOV SW 30KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 28/0535Z NOT AVBL
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 28/1135Z NOT AVBL
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 28/1735Z NOT AVBL
RMK: CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE ONGOING ERUPTION TO
FL500. VA HEIGHT INCREASED TO FL500 FROM FL400. A MORE
DETAILED ADVISORY WILL FOLLOW SOON.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20190628/0020Z

2019-06-27 23:13

Received FVAU03 at 23:13 UTC, 27/06/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190627/2313Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/78
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-8, RVO
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: VA TO FL400 OBS AT 27/2200Z MOV W.
OBS VA DTG: 27/2320Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL400 S0405 E14506 - S0428 E14439 - S0407 E14420 - S0348 E14432 - S0359 E14504 MOV W 30KT
E14420 - S0348 E14432 - S0359 E14504 MOV W 30KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 28/0520Z SFC/FL400 S0406 E14506 - S0439 E14423 - S0413 E14400 - S0344 E14421 - S0400 E14505
E14423 - S0413 E14400 - S0344 E14421 - S0400 E14505
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 28/1120Z SFC/FL400 S0406 E14506 - S0439 E14424 - S0414 E14400 - S0344 E14422 - S0359 E14504
E14424 - S0414 E14400 - S0344 E14422 - S0359 E14504
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 28/1720Z NO VA EXP
RMK: SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 09/2200Z INDICATE AN ANAMOLOUS
CLOUD EMANATING FROM MANAM WHICH IS VOLCANIC ASH. RVO
REPORTED INCREASED SIESMIC ACTIVITY BEING A PRECURSOR TO AN
ERUPTION. VA HEIGHT IS BASED ON CURRENT ASH MOVEMENT AND
MODEL GUIDANCE.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20190628/0015Z

2019-06-27 22:55

Received FVAU03 at 22:55 UTC, 27/06/19 from ADRM
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20190627/2255Z
VAAC: DARWIN
VOLCANO: MANAM 251020
PSN: S0405 E14502
AREA: PAPUA NEW GUINEA
SUMMIT ELEV: 1807M
ADVISORY NR: 2019/77
INFO SOURCE: HIMAWARI-8, RVO
AVIATION COLOUR CODE: RED
ERUPTION DETAILS: VA TO FL400 MOV W.
OBS VA DTG: 27/2255Z
OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL400 S0407 E14504 - S0418 E14448 - S0409 E14438 - S0355 E14441 - S0402 E14502 MOV W 25KT
E14438 - S0355 E14441 - S0402 E14502 MOV W 25KT
FCST VA CLD +6 HR: 28/0455Z NOT AVBL
FCST VA CLD +12 HR: 28/1055Z NOT AVBL
FCST VA CLD +18 HR: 28/1655Z NOT AVBL
RMK: A MORE DETAILED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED AS SOON AS
POSSIBLE.
NXT ADVISORY: NO LATER THAN 20190627/2320Z