Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for NORBERT-20
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NORBERT-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 101 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (14 Oct 10:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 47 km/h 0.2 m 39 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 101 km/h 0.3 m 481 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

101 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 15 Oct 2020 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 05 Oct 2020 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Oct 2020 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Oct 2020 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 06 Oct 2020 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 06 Oct 2020 18:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 07 Oct 2020 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 07 Oct 2020 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 07 Oct 2020 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 07 Oct 2020 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 08 Oct 2020 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 08 Oct 2020 06:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 08 Oct 2020 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 08 Oct 2020 18:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 09 Oct 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 09 Oct 2020 06:00 40 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 09 Oct 2020 12:00 40 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 09 Oct 2020 18:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 10 Oct 2020 00:00 40 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 10 Oct 2020 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 10 Oct 2020 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 10 Oct 2020 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 11 Oct 2020 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 11 Oct 2020 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 11 Oct 2020 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 11 Oct 2020 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 12 Oct 2020 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 12 Oct 2020 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 12 Oct 2020 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 12 Oct 2020 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 30 13 Oct 2020 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 31 13 Oct 2020 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 32 13 Oct 2020 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 33 13 Oct 2020 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 34 14 Oct 2020 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 35 14 Oct 2020 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 36 14 Oct 2020 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 37 14 Oct 2020 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 38 15 Oct 2020 00:00 47 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Oct 2020 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico352 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 05 Oct 2020 18:00 125 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Oct 2020 00:00 213 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 06 Oct 2020 06:00 191 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 06 Oct 2020 12:00 180 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 06 Oct 2020 18:00 168 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 07 Oct 2020 00:00 376 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 07 Oct 2020 06:00 177 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 07 Oct 2020 12:00 124 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 07 Oct 2020 18:00 35 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 08 Oct 2020 00:00 59 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 08 Oct 2020 06:00 149 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 08 Oct 2020 12:00 325 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 08 Oct 2020 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 09 Oct 2020 00:00 268 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 09 Oct 2020 06:00 36 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 09 Oct 2020 12:00 70 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 09 Oct 2020 18:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 10 Oct 2020 00:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 10 Oct 2020 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 10 Oct 2020 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 10 Oct 2020 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 11 Oct 2020 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 11 Oct 2020 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 11 Oct 2020 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 11 Oct 2020 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 12 Oct 2020 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 12 Oct 2020 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 12 Oct 2020 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 12 Oct 2020 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 30 13 Oct 2020 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 31 13 Oct 2020 06:00 248 - - - - - - -
Blue 32 13 Oct 2020 12:00 266 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 33 13 Oct 2020 18:00 150 - - - - - - -
Blue 34 14 Oct 2020 00:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 35 14 Oct 2020 06:00 217 - - - - - - -
Blue 36 14 Oct 2020 12:00 236 - - - - - - -
Blue 37 14 Oct 2020 18:00 40 - - - - - - -
Blue 38 15 Oct 2020 00:00 39 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 14 Oct 2020 10:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Oct 2020 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Oct 2020 10:45 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.3
06 Oct 2020 01:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
14 Oct 2020 03:45 La Choya Mexico  0.2
08 Oct 2020 22:45 San Felipe Mexico  0.2
14 Oct 2020 03:45 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.2
08 Oct 2020 01:45 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.2
08 Oct 2020 22:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.2
08 Oct 2020 14:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
15 Oct 2020 04:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
15 Oct 2020 04:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2020 03:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
15 Oct 2020 04:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
15 Oct 2020 04:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2020 03:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
15 Oct 2020 04:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
08 Oct 2020 21:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
08 Oct 2020 21:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
08 Oct 2020 21:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
17 Oct 2020 02:30 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
09 Oct 2020 02:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 13:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
07 Oct 2020 22:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2020 04:45 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
08 Oct 2020 04:45 Rosarito Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 03:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 06:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 06:15 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
10 Oct 2020 03:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
13 Oct 2020 23:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
15 Oct 2020 04:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 02:00 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.1
07 Oct 2020 16:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
07 Oct 2020 14:30 San Blas Mexico  0.1
07 Oct 2020 14:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 00:00 Puertecitos Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2020 23:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2020 23:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 04:45 Quinones Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2020 04:45 Ligui Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2020 04:45 Tripui Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2020 06:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 06:00 Cedros Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 03:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 03:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 03:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
14 Oct 2020 00:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 03:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2020 04:45 Coronado United States  0.1
08 Oct 2020 04:45 Boal United States  0.1
08 Oct 2020 21:45 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2020 21:45 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2020 21:45 Cunano Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2020 21:45 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 04:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 04:15 Mulege Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2020 13:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2020 23:15 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2020 20:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 04:30 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
14 Oct 2020 22:00 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
14 Oct 2020 22:00 Monteon Mexico  0.1
14 Oct 2020 22:00 La Lima Mexico  0.1
06 Oct 2020 05:45 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2020 03:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
14 Oct 2020 00:15 El Barril Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 16:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 03:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 03:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 03:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2020 04:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2020 22:15 La Florida Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 05:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 04:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2020 00:45 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2020 06:45 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2020 02:00 Azure Vista United States  0.1
08 Oct 2020 02:00 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
08 Oct 2020 02:00 San Diego United States  0.1
08 Oct 2020 00:45 Altata Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 06:30 El Sauzal Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 06:30 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 06:30 Ensenada Mexico  0.1
14 Oct 2020 00:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2020 23:30 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
10 Oct 2020 02:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 05:00 San Jose Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2020 01:45 Erendria Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2020 06:30 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2020 07:15 Molino Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2020 07:15 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 02:30 La Boca Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2020 19:15 Marmol Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2020 19:15 Florida Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2020 19:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 03:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 02:45 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 21:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 22:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
09 Oct 2020 22:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
07 Oct 2020 19:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
08 Oct 2020 02:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link