Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KUJIRA-20
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KUJIRA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 122 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.9 m (28 Sep 14:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 112 km/h 0.7 m 138 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 122 km/h 0.9 m 399 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 29 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 26 Sep 2020 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 27 Sep 2020 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 27 Sep 2020 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Sep 2020 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 27 Sep 2020 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Sep 2020 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Sep 2020 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 28 Sep 2020 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 28 Sep 2020 18:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 29 Sep 2020 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 29 Sep 2020 06:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 29 Sep 2020 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 29 Sep 2020 18:00 112 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

399 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 29 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 26 Sep 2020 18:00 302 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Sep 2020 00:00 152 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Sep 2020 06:00 365 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Sep 2020 12:00 145 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 27 Sep 2020 18:00 198 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Sep 2020 00:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Sep 2020 06:00 187 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Sep 2020 12:00 208 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 28 Sep 2020 18:00 122 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 29 Sep 2020 00:00 111 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 29 Sep 2020 06:00 117 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 29 Sep 2020 12:00 106 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 29 Sep 2020 18:00 138 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.9m in Onirusu, Russia. This height is estimated for 28 Sep 2020 14:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
28 Sep 2020 14:45 Onirusu Russia  0.9
28 Sep 2020 14:45 Protochnaya Russia  0.9
28 Sep 2020 14:45 Golovnino Russia  0.9
28 Sep 2020 14:45 Alekhino Russia  0.9
28 Sep 2020 14:45 Danilovo Russia  0.9
28 Sep 2020 14:45 Oshiusu Russia  0.9
27 Sep 2020 16:00 Fushiko-tobuto Japan  0.8
27 Sep 2020 16:00 Svetloye Japan  0.8
27 Sep 2020 16:00 Nishi-wada Japan  0.8
27 Sep 2020 16:00 Nemuro Japan  0.8
26 Sep 2020 21:30 Bekkai Japan  0.8
26 Sep 2020 21:00 Chibukarabetsu Russia  0.7
26 Sep 2020 21:00 Nakanokotan Russia  0.7
26 Sep 2020 21:00 Medelevo Russia  0.7
26 Sep 2020 21:00 Goryachiy Russia  0.7
26 Sep 2020 21:15 Tokotan Japan  0.7
27 Sep 2020 15:30 Churuigenya Japan  0.7
27 Sep 2020 15:30 Kumbetsu Japan  0.7
27 Sep 2020 15:30 Shibetsu Japan  0.7
27 Sep 2020 15:30 Odaito Japan  0.7
26 Sep 2020 20:45 Yuzhno-Kurilsk Russia  0.7
26 Sep 2020 21:30 Rukushibetsu Japan  0.7
27 Sep 2020 15:30 Ruchi Russia  0.6
27 Sep 2020 17:00 Anama Russia  0.6
27 Sep 2020 17:00 Kekkyowan Russia  0.6
27 Sep 2020 17:00 Shikotan Russia  0.6
27 Sep 2020 17:00 Kambaraiso Russia  0.6
26 Sep 2020 20:45 Tomoshiri Japan  0.5
02 Oct 2020 00:00 Malaya Rechka Russia  0.5
02 Oct 2020 00:00 Il'inka Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 15:45 Higashirucharu Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 15:45 Parusnoye Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 16:45 Hikiushi Japan  0.5
27 Sep 2020 16:45 Nassafu Japan  0.5
27 Sep 2020 16:00 Shamambe Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 16:00 Reydovo Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 16:00 Rokubanchi Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 15:30 Ptichye Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 15:30 Gordeyevka Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 15:30 Kruglovo Russia  0.5
30 Sep 2020 04:15 Rausu Japan  0.5
26 Sep 2020 23:15 Nazarovo Russia  0.5
26 Sep 2020 23:15 Gavrilovka Russia  0.5
26 Sep 2020 23:15 Grigor'yevo Russia  0.5
26 Sep 2020 23:15 Krutenki Russia  0.5
26 Sep 2020 23:15 Kunashiri Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 16:45 Osenniy Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 16:45 Otlivnyy Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 16:45 Zolotoy Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 16:45 Chikkaporo Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 16:45 Kuybyshevo Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 16:45 Kasatka Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 16:00 Kompaneysk Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 16:00 Ryabinovka Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 16:00 Kastrikum Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 16:15 Sokitani Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 16:15 Slavnoye Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 06:45 Sunahama Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 06:45 Aitomari Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 06:45 Pontokomoi Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 06:45 Kamenka Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 06:45 Kitaura Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 06:45 Nishimae Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 06:45 Tokkariiso Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 06:45 Kafenotsu Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 07:00 Moshirikeshi Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 15:15 Tayezhnyy Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 15:15 Lesozavodskiy Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 15:15 Dobroye Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 15:15 Odesskiy Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 15:15 Mataruzaru Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 15:15 Selivanovka Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 15:15 Sanjibotsu Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 15:30 Chipputomari Japan  0.5
27 Sep 2020 15:30 Utoro Japan  0.5
26 Sep 2020 23:15 Tyatino Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 15:45 Kurilsk Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 15:45 Yanketo Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 15:45 Kitovyy Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 15:45 Matoiso Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 06:45 Zeikomae Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 06:45 Akiajiba Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 15:30 Mammae Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 15:30 Okeanskiy Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 16:00 Medvezhye Russia  0.5
27 Sep 2020 15:15 Rokko Russia  0.4
30 Sep 2020 03:15 Podgornyy Russia  0.4
27 Sep 2020 16:00 Sopochnyy Russia  0.4
27 Sep 2020 16:00 Sentyabrskiy Russia  0.4
27 Sep 2020 17:15 Rudnaya Russia  0.4
27 Sep 2020 15:45 Rybaki Russia  0.4
27 Sep 2020 15:45 Chippuporo Russia  0.4
26 Sep 2020 22:30 Moraito Japan  0.4
27 Sep 2020 17:15 Mysovoye Russia  0.4
27 Sep 2020 16:00 Mysovaya Russia  0.4
27 Sep 2020 15:45 Sasirui Japan  0.4
27 Sep 2020 15:30 Berezovka Russia  0.4
27 Sep 2020 15:30 Riyaushi Russia  0.4
27 Sep 2020 15:30 Neskuchnoye Russia  0.4
27 Sep 2020 16:00 Iodnyy Russia  0.4
27 Sep 2020 16:30 Astaurova Russia  0.4
27 Sep 2020 15:30 Tokkarimui Japan  0.4
28 Sep 2020 13:00 Kraternyy Russia  0.4
27 Sep 2020 15:30 Kobukarikotan Japan  0.4
27 Sep 2020 15:45 Rebaushi Russia  0.4
27 Sep 2020 09:45 Sernozavodskiy Russia  0.4
27 Sep 2020 18:00 Hamanaka Japan  0.4
27 Sep 2020 18:00 Kiritappu Japan  0.4
27 Sep 2020 09:45 Nov' Russia  0.4
27 Sep 2020 15:45 Kitoboynyy Russia  0.4
27 Sep 2020 15:45 Kostochko Russia  0.4
27 Sep 2020 06:45 Akkeshi Japan  0.4
27 Sep 2020 06:45 Shinryu Japan  0.4
27 Sep 2020 06:45 Itoizawa Japan  0.4
01 Oct 2020 14:45 Harmon Village Guam  0.4
01 Oct 2020 14:45 Oceanview Guam  0.4
01 Oct 2020 14:45 Dededo Guam  0.4
01 Oct 2020 14:45 South Acres Guam  0.4
01 Oct 2020 14:45 Ipapao Guam  0.4
01 Oct 2020 14:45 Potts Junction Guam  0.4
01 Oct 2020 14:45 Perez Acres Guam  0.4
01 Oct 2020 14:45 Spring Hill Subdivision Guam  0.4
01 Oct 2020 14:45 Upi Guam  0.4
01 Oct 2020 14:45 Gayinero Guam  0.4
01 Oct 2020 14:45 Asatdas Guam  0.4
01 Oct 2020 14:45 Lupog Guam  0.4
27 Sep 2020 17:15 Masuba Russia  0.4
27 Sep 2020 17:15 Kombuusu Russia  0.4
27 Sep 2020 17:15 Ayvazovskoye Russia  0.4
27 Sep 2020 06:45 Mo-chirippu Japan  0.4
27 Sep 2020 22:00 Aleutka Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 10:00 Asbeco Guam  0.3
30 Sep 2020 10:00 Adacao Guam  0.3
30 Sep 2020 10:30 Afetna Northern Mariana Islands  0.3
30 Sep 2020 10:30 Susupi Northern Mariana Islands  0.3
30 Sep 2020 10:30 Laolao Northern Mariana Islands  0.3
30 Sep 2020 10:30 Garapan Northern Mariana Islands  0.3
30 Sep 2020 10:30 Mutcho Northern Mariana Islands  0.3
30 Sep 2020 10:30 Chalan Kanoa Northern Mariana Islands  0.3
30 Sep 2020 10:30 Aslito Northern Mariana Islands  0.3
30 Sep 2020 10:30 Tanapag Northern Mariana Islands  0.3
30 Sep 2020 10:30 Saipan Northern Mariana Islands  0.3
30 Sep 2020 10:30 San Roque Northern Mariana Islands  0.3
30 Sep 2020 10:30 Kagman Northern Mariana Islands  0.3
30 Sep 2020 10:00 Barrigada Guam  0.3
30 Sep 2020 10:00 Camp Quezon Guam  0.3
01 Oct 2020 15:15 Sunharon Roads Northern Mariana Islands  0.3
29 Sep 2020 10:45 Teteto Northern Mariana Islands  0.3
29 Sep 2020 10:45 Sinapalo Northern Mariana Islands  0.3
29 Sep 2020 10:45 Songsong Northern Mariana Islands  0.3
29 Sep 2020 10:45 Rota Northern Mariana Islands  0.3
30 Sep 2020 10:00 Shomushon Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
30 Sep 2020 10:00 Marasu Northern Mariana Islands  0.2

Calculation folder at this link