Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KUJIRA-20
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KUJIRA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 133 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (30 Sep 05:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 133 km/h 0.7 m 129 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 140 km/h 0.8 m 329 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 29 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 26 Sep 2020 18:00 83 -
- - - - - Russia, Japan
GREEN 2 27 Sep 2020 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Russia
GREEN 3 27 Sep 2020 06:00 76 -
- - - - - Russia
GREEN 4 27 Sep 2020 12:00 83 -
- - - - - Russia
GREEN 5 27 Sep 2020 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Sep 2020 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 28 Sep 2020 06:00 90 -
- - - - - Russia
GREEN 8 28 Sep 2020 12:00 94 -
- - - - - Russia
GREEN 9 28 Sep 2020 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 29 Sep 2020 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 29 Sep 2020 06:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 29 Sep 2020 12:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 29 Sep 2020 18:00 133 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

329 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmNorthern Mariana Islands51483 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 26 Sep 2020 18:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 27 Sep 2020 00:00 84 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Sep 2020 06:00 130 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Sep 2020 12:00 193 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 27 Sep 2020 18:00 146 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Sep 2020 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 28 Sep 2020 06:00 75 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 28 Sep 2020 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 28 Sep 2020 18:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 29 Sep 2020 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 29 Sep 2020 06:00 181 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 29 Sep 2020 12:00 130 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 29 Sep 2020 18:00 191 -
- - - - - Northern Mariana Islands




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Fushiko-tobuto, Japan. This height is estimated for 30 Sep 2020 05:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
30 Sep 2020 05:00 Fushiko-tobuto Japan  0.7
30 Sep 2020 05:00 Svetloye Japan  0.7
30 Sep 2020 05:00 Nishi-wada Japan  0.7
30 Sep 2020 05:00 Nemuro Japan  0.7
30 Sep 2020 03:15 Onirusu Russia  0.6
30 Sep 2020 03:15 Protochnaya Russia  0.6
30 Sep 2020 03:15 Golovnino Russia  0.6
30 Sep 2020 03:15 Alekhino Russia  0.6
30 Sep 2020 03:15 Danilovo Russia  0.6
30 Sep 2020 03:15 Oshiusu Russia  0.6
30 Sep 2020 17:30 Chibukarabetsu Russia  0.6
30 Sep 2020 17:30 Nakanokotan Russia  0.6
30 Sep 2020 17:30 Medelevo Russia  0.6
30 Sep 2020 17:30 Goryachiy Russia  0.6
30 Sep 2020 05:30 Tokotan Japan  0.5
30 Sep 2020 05:30 Bekkai Japan  0.5
30 Sep 2020 05:30 Odaito Japan  0.5
01 Oct 2020 01:30 Churuigenya Japan  0.5
01 Oct 2020 01:30 Kumbetsu Japan  0.5
01 Oct 2020 01:30 Rukushibetsu Japan  0.5
01 Oct 2020 01:30 Shibetsu Japan  0.5
30 Sep 2020 17:30 Yuzhno-Kurilsk Russia  0.5
01 Oct 2020 03:30 Gavrilovka Russia  0.4
01 Oct 2020 03:30 Nazarovo Russia  0.4
01 Oct 2020 03:30 Grigor'yevo Russia  0.4
01 Oct 2020 03:30 Krutenki Russia  0.4
01 Oct 2020 03:30 Kunashiri Russia  0.4
01 Oct 2020 03:30 Malaya Rechka Russia  0.4
01 Oct 2020 03:30 Il'inka Russia  0.4
30 Sep 2020 04:30 Tomoshiri Japan  0.4
01 Oct 2020 03:30 Tyatino Russia  0.4
01 Oct 2020 02:00 Osenniy Russia  0.4
01 Oct 2020 02:00 Otlivnyy Russia  0.4
01 Oct 2020 02:00 Zolotoy Russia  0.4
01 Oct 2020 02:00 Chikkaporo Russia  0.4
01 Oct 2020 02:00 Kuybyshevo Russia  0.4
01 Oct 2020 02:00 Kasatka Russia  0.4
30 Sep 2020 13:15 Kompaneysk Russia  0.4
30 Sep 2020 13:15 Ryabinovka Russia  0.4
30 Sep 2020 13:15 Kastrikum Russia  0.4
29 Sep 2020 19:00 Higashirucharu Russia  0.4
29 Sep 2020 19:00 Parusnoye Russia  0.4
01 Oct 2020 01:30 Ruchi Russia  0.4
29 Sep 2020 20:45 Moshirikeshi Russia  0.3
29 Sep 2020 21:00 Aitomari Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 03:00 Reydovo Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 03:00 Rokubanchi Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 03:30 Rudnaya Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 17:30 Kitaura Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 17:30 Tokkariiso Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 17:30 Kafenotsu Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 17:45 Sunahama Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 17:45 Pontokomoi Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 17:45 Kamenka Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 17:45 Nishimae Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 04:00 Hikiushi Japan  0.3
30 Sep 2020 04:00 Nassafu Japan  0.3
01 Oct 2020 01:45 Chipputomari Japan  0.3
01 Oct 2020 01:45 Utoro Japan  0.3
01 Oct 2020 03:30 Mysovoye Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 03:00 Anama Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 03:00 Kekkyowan Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 03:00 Shikotan Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 03:00 Kambaraiso Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 17:30 Zeikomae Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 17:30 Akiajiba Russia  0.3
29 Sep 2020 21:00 Shamambe Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 15:15 Rausu Japan  0.3
01 Oct 2020 02:15 Sopochnyy Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 02:15 Sentyabrskiy Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 03:15 Gordeyevka Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 02:15 Tayezhnyy Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 02:15 Lesozavodskiy Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 02:15 Dobroye Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 02:15 Okeanskiy Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 02:15 Odesskiy Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 02:15 Mataruzaru Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 02:15 Selivanovka Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 02:15 Iodnyy Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 02:15 Nov' Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 02:15 Mysovaya Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 03:00 Masuba Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 03:00 Kombuusu Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 03:00 Ayvazovskoye Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 02:15 Sernozavodskiy Russia  0.2
29 Sep 2020 20:00 Hamanaka Japan  0.2
29 Sep 2020 20:00 Kiritappu Japan  0.2
29 Sep 2020 20:00 Moraito Japan  0.2
30 Sep 2020 04:15 Sanjibotsu Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 02:15 Kruglovo Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 01:45 Podgornyy Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 04:00 Sasirui Japan  0.2
01 Oct 2020 03:00 Ptichye Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 03:45 Rebaushi Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 02:30 Riyaushi Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 02:30 Rokko Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 02:30 Mammae Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 02:15 Astaurova Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 03:45 Tokkarimui Japan  0.2
30 Sep 2020 03:45 Kobukarikotan Japan  0.2
30 Sep 2020 10:00 Harmon Village Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 10:00 Oceanview Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 10:00 Dededo Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 10:00 South Acres Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 10:00 Ipapao Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 10:00 Potts Junction Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 10:00 Perez Acres Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 10:00 Spring Hill Subdivision Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 10:00 Upi Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 10:00 Gayinero Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 10:00 Asatdas Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 10:00 Lupog Guam  0.2
01 Oct 2020 02:15 Sokitani Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 15:00 Laolao Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
01 Oct 2020 15:00 Garapan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
01 Oct 2020 15:00 Mutcho Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
01 Oct 2020 15:00 Tanapag Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
01 Oct 2020 15:00 Saipan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
01 Oct 2020 15:00 Afetna Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
01 Oct 2020 15:00 Susupi Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
01 Oct 2020 15:00 Chalan Kanoa Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
01 Oct 2020 15:00 Aslito Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
01 Oct 2020 15:00 San Roque Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
01 Oct 2020 15:00 Kagman Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
01 Oct 2020 15:00 Sunharon Roads Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
30 Sep 2020 10:00 Songsong Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
30 Sep 2020 10:00 Rota Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
30 Sep 2020 10:00 Asbeco Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 10:00 Adacao Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 10:00 Teteto Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
30 Sep 2020 03:15 Slavnoye Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 03:15 Medvezhye Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 10:00 Barrigada Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 10:00 Camp Quezon Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 10:00 Sinapalo Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
29 Sep 2020 19:45 Mo-chirippu Japan  0.2
30 Sep 2020 03:45 Neskuchnoye Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 02:30 Berezovka Russia  0.2
29 Sep 2020 19:45 Itoizawa Japan  0.2
30 Sep 2020 03:30 Rybaki Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 03:30 Chippuporo Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 03:30 Kurilsk Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 03:30 Yanketo Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 03:30 Kitovyy Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 15:00 Shomushon Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
01 Oct 2020 15:00 Marasu Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
01 Oct 2020 02:00 Matoiso Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 02:15 Akkeshi Japan  0.2
01 Oct 2020 02:15 Shinryu Japan  0.2
01 Oct 2020 01:45 Kitoboynyy Russia  0.1
01 Oct 2020 01:45 Kostochko Russia  0.1
01 Oct 2020 01:45 Kraternyy Russia  0.1
01 Oct 2020 01:45 Aleutka Russia  0.1

Calculation folder at this link