Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KUJIRA-20
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KUJIRA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 94 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (01 Oct 03:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 94 km/h 0.5 m 801 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 119 km/h 1.0 m 883 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

119 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 30 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 26 Sep 2020 00:00 83 -
- - - - - Russia, Japan
GREEN 2 26 Sep 2020 12:00 79 -
- - - - - Russia, Japan
GREEN 3 27 Sep 2020 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 27 Sep 2020 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 28 Sep 2020 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 28 Sep 2020 12:00 86 -
- - - - - Russia
GREEN 7 29 Sep 2020 00:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 29 Sep 2020 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 30 Sep 2020 00:00 94 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmNorthern Mariana Islands, Guam54711
+
Northern Mariana Islands31646 
Guam23065 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 26 Sep 2020 00:00 181 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 26 Sep 2020 12:00 157 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 27 Sep 2020 00:00 62 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 27 Sep 2020 12:00 127 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 28 Sep 2020 00:00 372 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 28 Sep 2020 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 29 Sep 2020 00:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 29 Sep 2020 12:00 178 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 30 Sep 2020 00:00 801 -
- - - - - Northern Mariana Islands, Guam




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Onirusu, Russia. This height is estimated for 01 Oct 2020 03:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01 Oct 2020 03:30 Onirusu Russia  0.5
01 Oct 2020 03:30 Protochnaya Russia  0.5
01 Oct 2020 03:30 Golovnino Russia  0.5
01 Oct 2020 03:30 Alekhino Russia  0.5
01 Oct 2020 03:30 Danilovo Russia  0.5
01 Oct 2020 03:30 Oshiusu Russia  0.5
02 Oct 2020 22:30 Fushiko-tobuto Japan  0.5
02 Oct 2020 22:30 Svetloye Japan  0.5
02 Oct 2020 22:30 Nishi-wada Japan  0.5
02 Oct 2020 22:30 Nemuro Japan  0.5
02 Oct 2020 22:15 Odaito Japan  0.5
02 Oct 2020 22:15 Tokotan Japan  0.5
02 Oct 2020 22:15 Bekkai Japan  0.5
01 Oct 2020 03:15 Chibukarabetsu Russia  0.5
01 Oct 2020 03:15 Nakanokotan Russia  0.5
01 Oct 2020 03:15 Medelevo Russia  0.5
01 Oct 2020 03:15 Goryachiy Russia  0.5
02 Oct 2020 21:00 Churuigenya Japan  0.5
02 Oct 2020 21:00 Kumbetsu Japan  0.5
02 Oct 2020 21:00 Rukushibetsu Japan  0.5
02 Oct 2020 21:00 Shibetsu Japan  0.5
01 Oct 2020 13:15 Malaya Rechka Russia  0.4
01 Oct 2020 13:15 Il'inka Russia  0.4
02 Oct 2020 20:45 Rausu Japan  0.4
01 Oct 2020 00:00 Yuzhno-Kurilsk Russia  0.4
02 Oct 2020 21:00 Ruchi Russia  0.4
01 Oct 2020 00:00 Nazarovo Russia  0.4
01 Oct 2020 00:00 Gavrilovka Russia  0.4
01 Oct 2020 00:00 Grigor'yevo Russia  0.4
01 Oct 2020 00:00 Kunashiri Russia  0.4
30 Sep 2020 08:15 Chipputomari Japan  0.3
30 Sep 2020 08:15 Utoro Japan  0.3
01 Oct 2020 23:45 Aitomari Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 23:45 Kitaura Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 23:45 Tokkariiso Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 23:45 Kafenotsu Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 16:00 Krutenki Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 16:00 Tyatino Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 16:30 Sunahama Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 16:30 Pontokomoi Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 16:30 Kamenka Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 16:30 Nishimae Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 08:15 Higashirucharu Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 08:15 Parusnoye Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 23:45 Moshirikeshi Russia  0.3
02 Oct 2020 00:30 Podgornyy Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 08:00 Hamanaka Japan  0.3
30 Sep 2020 08:00 Kiritappu Japan  0.3
30 Sep 2020 08:00 Moraito Japan  0.3
02 Oct 2020 21:45 Tomoshiri Japan  0.3
01 Oct 2020 23:30 Rudnaya Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 06:30 Reydovo Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 06:30 Rokubanchi Russia  0.3
02 Oct 2020 21:45 Hikiushi Japan  0.3
30 Sep 2020 08:30 Akkeshi Japan  0.3
30 Sep 2020 08:30 Shinryu Japan  0.3
30 Sep 2020 08:30 Itoizawa Japan  0.3
01 Oct 2020 23:45 Nassafu Japan  0.3
01 Oct 2020 15:00 Kompaneysk Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 15:00 Ryabinovka Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 15:00 Kastrikum Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 08:15 Shamambe Russia  0.3
02 Oct 2020 00:00 Ptichye Russia  0.3
02 Oct 2020 00:00 Mysovoye Russia  0.3
02 Oct 2020 00:00 Gordeyevka Russia  0.3
02 Oct 2020 00:00 Kruglovo Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 16:15 Osenniy Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 16:15 Otlivnyy Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 16:15 Zolotoy Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 16:15 Chikkaporo Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 16:15 Kuybyshevo Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 16:15 Kasatka Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 23:45 Zeikomae Russia  0.3
01 Oct 2020 23:45 Akiajiba Russia  0.3
30 Sep 2020 20:30 Harmon Village Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:30 Oceanview Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:30 Dededo Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:30 South Acres Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:30 Ipapao Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:30 Potts Junction Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:30 Perez Acres Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:30 Spring Hill Subdivision Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:30 Upi Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:30 Gayinero Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:30 Asatdas Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:30 Lupog Guam  0.2
01 Oct 2020 23:45 Masuba Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 23:45 Kombuusu Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 23:45 Ayvazovskoye Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 23:45 Anama Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 23:45 Kekkyowan Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 23:45 Shikotan Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 14:00 Sopochnyy Russia  0.2
02 Oct 2020 20:30 Sasirui Japan  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:15 Kambaraiso Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:30 Songsong Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:30 Teteto Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:30 Rota Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:30 Sinapalo Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
02 Oct 2020 21:30 Sokitani Russia  0.2
02 Oct 2020 21:30 Sentyabrskiy Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 01:15 Rokko Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 01:15 Mammae Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 01:15 Tayezhnyy Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 01:15 Lesozavodskiy Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 01:15 Dobroye Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 01:15 Okeanskiy Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 01:15 Odesskiy Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 13:30 Slavnoye Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 13:30 Medvezhye Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:45 Sunharon Roads Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:45 Barrigada Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:45 Camp Quezon Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:45 Asbeco Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:45 Adacao Guam  0.2
30 Sep 2020 08:00 Mo-chirippu Japan  0.2
02 Oct 2020 20:30 Tokkarimui Japan  0.2
02 Oct 2020 20:30 Kobukarikotan Japan  0.2
01 Oct 2020 01:15 Kurilsk Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 01:15 Yanketo Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 01:15 Kitovyy Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 01:15 Matoiso Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:30 Afetna Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:30 Susupi Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:30 Chalan Kanoa Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:30 Aslito Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:45 Laolao Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:45 Garapan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:45 Mutcho Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:45 Tanapag Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:45 Saipan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:45 San Roque Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
30 Sep 2020 20:45 Kagman Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
30 Sep 2020 19:15 Sernozavodskiy Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 19:45 Mataruzaru Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 19:45 Selivanovka Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 19:45 Iodnyy Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 19:45 Nov' Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 19:45 Mysovaya Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 19:45 Riyaushi Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 03:30 Sanjibotsu Russia  0.2
02 Oct 2020 20:30 Rebaushi Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 19:45 Berezovka Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 01:15 Astaurova Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 07:30 Aleutka Russia  0.2
02 Oct 2020 20:45 Rybaki Russia  0.2
02 Oct 2020 20:45 Chippuporo Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 13:00 Neskuchnoye Russia  0.2
30 Sep 2020 21:15 Shomushon Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
30 Sep 2020 21:15 Marasu Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
01 Oct 2020 03:45 Kraternyy Russia  0.2
01 Oct 2020 23:15 Kitoboynyy Russia  0.1
01 Oct 2020 23:15 Kostochko Russia  0.1

Calculation folder at this link