Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LOWELL-20
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LOWELL-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (28 Sep 06:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 65 km/h 0.5 m 27 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 108 km/h 0.5 m 591 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

108 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 25 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 20 Sep 2020 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 21 Sep 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 21 Sep 2020 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 21 Sep 2020 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 21 Sep 2020 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 22 Sep 2020 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 22 Sep 2020 06:00 101 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 8 22 Sep 2020 12:00 108 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 9 22 Sep 2020 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 23 Sep 2020 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 23 Sep 2020 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 23 Sep 2020 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 23 Sep 2020 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 24 Sep 2020 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 24 Sep 2020 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 24 Sep 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 24 Sep 2020 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 25 Sep 2020 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 25 Sep 2020 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 25 Sep 2020 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 25 Sep 2020 18:00 65 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 25 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 20 Sep 2020 18:00 266 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 21 Sep 2020 00:00 166 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 21 Sep 2020 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 21 Sep 2020 12:00 109 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 21 Sep 2020 18:00 145 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 22 Sep 2020 00:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 22 Sep 2020 06:00 167 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 22 Sep 2020 12:00 81 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 22 Sep 2020 18:00 74 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 23 Sep 2020 00:00 202 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 23 Sep 2020 06:00 117 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 23 Sep 2020 12:00 125 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 23 Sep 2020 18:00 81 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 24 Sep 2020 00:00 59 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 24 Sep 2020 06:00 84 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 24 Sep 2020 12:00 186 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 24 Sep 2020 18:00 57 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 25 Sep 2020 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 25 Sep 2020 06:00 82 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 25 Sep 2020 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 25 Sep 2020 18:00 299 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 28 Sep 2020 06:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 25 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
28 Sep 2020 06:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.5
26 Sep 2020 17:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.4
25 Sep 2020 18:00 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.4
28 Sep 2020 01:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.4
28 Sep 2020 01:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.4
26 Sep 2020 17:45 Cedros Mexico  0.3
27 Sep 2020 12:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.3
28 Sep 2020 11:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.3
26 Sep 2020 12:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.3
28 Sep 2020 11:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.3
28 Sep 2020 11:15 El Barril Mexico  0.3
28 Sep 2020 11:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
28 Sep 2020 11:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
28 Sep 2020 11:15 Mulege Mexico  0.3
27 Sep 2020 12:15 Guasimas Mexico  0.3
28 Sep 2020 11:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.3
28 Sep 2020 11:45 Empalme Mexico  0.3
28 Sep 2020 11:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.3
28 Sep 2020 11:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.3
28 Sep 2020 11:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.3
28 Sep 2020 10:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.3
28 Sep 2020 10:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.3
28 Sep 2020 10:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
28 Sep 2020 11:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.3
28 Sep 2020 11:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 10:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 11:00 San Jose Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 11:15 Liliba Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 10:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 11:15 Loreto Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 11:15 Ligui Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 11:15 Tripui Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 10:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 10:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 11:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 11:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 10:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 10:15 Datilito Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 10:00 La Paz Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 10:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 10:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 11:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
27 Sep 2020 23:15 Novillero Mexico  0.2
27 Sep 2020 23:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
27 Sep 2020 23:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 10:45 Rosario Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 10:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 10:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 10:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 10:45 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
27 Sep 2020 23:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
27 Sep 2020 23:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
27 Sep 2020 23:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
26 Sep 2020 11:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 09:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 09:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 09:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 09:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 09:45 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 09:45 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 10:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 10:00 La Boca Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 00:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 00:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 09:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 10:00 Altata Mexico  0.2
27 Sep 2020 23:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 00:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 00:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 00:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 10:00 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 10:00 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 10:00 Monteon Mexico  0.2
27 Sep 2020 23:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
27 Sep 2020 23:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 12:15 La Florida Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 10:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 10:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 10:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 09:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 10:00 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 09:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 10:00 Dimas Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 09:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 10:00 La Trinadad Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 09:30 Pizota Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 10:00 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 10:00 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 10:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 10:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 10:00 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 09:30 Chola Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 09:30 Corrales Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 09:30 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 09:30 Ipala Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 09:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 09:45 Marmol Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 09:45 Florida Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 09:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 09:45 Barron Mexico  0.2
28 Sep 2020 00:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
27 Sep 2020 23:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
27 Sep 2020 23:45 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2020 00:00 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
27 Sep 2020 23:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
27 Sep 2020 23:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
27 Sep 2020 23:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
27 Sep 2020 23:45 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
27 Sep 2020 23:15 Cunano Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2020 09:45 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
27 Sep 2020 00:15 Quinones Mexico  0.1
27 Sep 2020 23:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2020 10:00 El Tule Mexico  0.1
27 Sep 2020 23:00 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
27 Sep 2020 23:00 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
28 Sep 2020 10:15 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
27 Sep 2020 23:00 La Tinaja Mexico  0.1
27 Sep 2020 23:00 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link