Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LILI-19
in Timor-Leste, Indonesia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LILI-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries , Timor-Leste, Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (10 May 00:45 UTC)
Vulnerability -- (Timor-Leste)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 86 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 86 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

86 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 May 2019 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormTimor-Leste, Australia966
+
Other countries4 
Timor-Leste954 
Australia8 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 May 2019 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 May 2019 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 May 2019 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 10 May 2019 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 10 May 2019 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 10 May 2019 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 10 May 2019 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 11 May 2019 00:00 86 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 11 May 2019 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 May 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 09 May 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 09 May 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 10 May 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 10 May 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 10 May 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 10 May 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 11 May 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Wickham, Australia. This height is estimated for 10 May 2019 00:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 May 2019 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 May 2019 00:45 Wickham Australia  0.5
10 May 2019 00:45 Point Samson Australia  0.5
10 May 2019 00:45 Cossack Australia  0.5
10 May 2019 14:15 Dampier Australia  0.3
10 May 2019 14:15 Karratha Australia  0.3
10 May 2019 07:00 Pagatan Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 07:00 Pematangdoerian Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 07:00 Semisir Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 07:00 Tandjungserdang Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 07:00 Salinau Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 05:00 Kandangan Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 05:00 Sawarangan Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 16:15 Longar Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 16:15 Baimoeh Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 16:15 Gomo Gomo Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 16:15 Masian Indonesia  0.2
11 May 2019 02:45 Mardie Australia  0.2
13 May 2019 12:30 Derby Australia  0.2
09 May 2019 15:45 Sembelimbingan Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 15:45 Berangas Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 15:45 Soengaibali Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 16:15 Langadai Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 06:45 Semaras Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 05:30 Batakam Indonesia  0.2
11 May 2019 06:00 Port Hedland Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 06:00 Wedgefield Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 19:00 Kollan I Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 06:45 Boenati Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 08:15 Thangoo Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 08:15 Broome Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 06:15 Tapianbalai Indonesia  0.2
11 May 2019 09:00 Pender Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 14:00 Larrakeyah Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 14:00 Fannie Bay Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 14:00 Parap Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 14:00 Darwin Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 14:00 Nightcliff Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 14:00 Ludmilla Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 14:00 Bagot Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 14:00 Leanyer Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 14:00 Knuckeys Lagoon Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 14:00 Berrimah Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 01:15 Ah Chong I Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 01:00 Gribble Settlement Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 15:30 The Palms Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 06:45 Okaoka Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 07:00 Teloekkapalpetjah Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 06:45 Tungkaranasam Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 06:45 Sekapoeng Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 06:30 East Lewis I Australia  0.1
10 May 2019 05:45 Bahomia Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 05:45 Maiwawa Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 05:45 Djokdjoh Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 05:45 Namasan Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 05:45 Utarom Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 05:45 Kaimana Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 05:45 Moearona Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 21:00 Kolono Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 21:00 Lambo Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 21:00 Laboeanperopa Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 21:00 Roode Huk Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 21:00 Tuetue Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 21:00 Batumea Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 21:00 Lampeapi Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 07:45 Waterbank Australia  0.1
10 May 2019 15:15 Oud Krai Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 15:15 Krei-lama Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 15:15 Krai Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 07:45 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.1
11 May 2019 00:15 Lore Timor-Leste  0.1
11 May 2019 00:15 Mau-Pitine Timor-Leste  0.1
11 May 2019 00:00 Matarape Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 00:00 Baja Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 02:45 Pipoeloe Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 02:45 Poeloepanda Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 02:45 Kendari Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 02:45 Meramo Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 02:45 Wawatoe Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 02:45 Sambuli Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 21:00 Belalo Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 21:00 Kokapi Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 22:15 Mirobia Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 22:15 Ibonma Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 09:45 Petjatu Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 09:45 Seseh Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 09:45 Kuta Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 09:45 Djimbaran Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 09:45 Boealoe Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 09:45 Benua Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 09:45 Denpasar Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 09:45 Sukawati Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 01:15 Jarona Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 01:15 Karufa Kembala Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 07:15 Condon Australia  0.1
10 May 2019 21:00 Wawalalindu Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 21:00 Molawe Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 21:00 Tinobu Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 21:00 Molore Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 21:00 Taponggaja Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Tampo Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Mabodo Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Raha Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Bonea Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Lohia Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Koroni Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Wakarumba Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Lebo Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Nunu Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Boeboe Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Ronta Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Latambela Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Tioro Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Kembano Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Napabalana Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 23:30 Surutanga Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 23:30 Bua Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 23:30 Boesak Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 23:30 Lura Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 23:30 Bassiang Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 14:30 Diommon Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:15 Bangbong Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 02:45 Waeplou Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 02:45 Djiku Merasa Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 02:45 Namlea Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:15 Rumba Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:15 Walue Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:15 Labuban-Tobelo Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:15 Laboean-tobelo Indonesia  0.1

Calculation folder at this link