Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LILI-19
in Timor-Leste, Indonesia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LILI-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (10 May 23:45 UTC)
Vulnerability -- (Timor-Leste)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 76 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 86 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

86 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 10 May 2019 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 May 2019 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 May 2019 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 May 2019 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 10 May 2019 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 10 May 2019 06:00 76 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 10 May 2019 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 May 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 09 May 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 09 May 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 10 May 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 10 May 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Wickham, Australia. This height is estimated for 10 May 2019 23:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 May 2019 06:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 May 2019 23:45 Wickham Australia  0.5
10 May 2019 23:45 Point Samson Australia  0.5
10 May 2019 23:45 Cossack Australia  0.5
10 May 2019 22:45 Dampier Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 22:45 Karratha Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 07:00 Pagatan Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 07:00 Pematangdoerian Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 07:00 Semisir Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 07:00 Tandjungserdang Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 07:00 Salinau Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 06:30 Mardie Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 06:00 Kandangan Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 06:00 Sawarangan Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 06:45 Semaras Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 09:00 Sembelimbingan Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 09:00 Berangas Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 09:00 Soengaibali Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 16:15 Longar Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 16:15 Baimoeh Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 16:15 Gomo Gomo Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 16:15 Masian Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 09:30 Langadai Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 06:00 Batakam Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 06:45 Boenati Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 15:45 The Palms Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 15:45 Larrakeyah Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 15:45 Fannie Bay Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 15:45 Parap Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 15:45 Darwin Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 15:45 Nightcliff Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 15:45 Ludmilla Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 15:45 Bagot Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 15:45 Knuckeys Lagoon Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 15:45 Berrimah Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 08:15 Thangoo Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 08:15 Broome Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 07:45 Kollan I Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 06:15 Tapianbalai Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 15:30 Leanyer Australia  0.2
12 May 2019 02:45 Derby Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 06:15 Port Hedland Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 06:15 Wedgefield Australia  0.2
11 May 2019 08:45 Pender Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 23:45 Ah Chong I Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 06:45 Okaoka Indonesia  0.2
11 May 2019 07:30 East Lewis I Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 07:00 Teloekkapalpetjah Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 09:45 Gribble Settlement Australia  0.1
10 May 2019 06:45 Tungkaranasam Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 06:45 Sekapoeng Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 07:45 Waterbank Australia  0.1
10 May 2019 14:00 Bahomia Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 14:00 Maiwawa Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 14:00 Djokdjoh Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 14:00 Namasan Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 14:00 Utarom Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 14:00 Kaimana Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 14:00 Moearona Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 07:45 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.1
10 May 2019 15:00 Oud Krai Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 15:00 Krei-lama Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 15:00 Krai Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 06:45 Tampo Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 06:45 Mabodo Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 06:45 Raha Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 06:45 Bonea Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 06:45 Lohia Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 06:45 Koroni Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 06:45 Wakarumba Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 06:45 Lebo Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 06:45 Nunu Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 06:45 Boeboe Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 06:45 Ronta Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 06:45 Latambela Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 13:45 Mirobia Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 13:45 Ibonma Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 06:30 Tioro Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 06:30 Kembano Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 06:30 Napabalana Indonesia  0.1

Calculation folder at this link