Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LILI-19
in Timor-Leste, Indonesia
GDACS
Impact Single TC
Impact all weather systems in the area
.

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LILI-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (JTWC)
Exposed countries Timor-Leste, Indonesia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (09 May 13:00 UTC)
Vulnerability -- (Timor-Leste)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 74 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 83 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

74 km/h Current

Up to 1.6 million people in Tropical storm (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 09 May 2019 06:00 74 1.6 million No people Indonesia, Timor-Leste

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 09 May 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 65 63000 people no people -8.7, 128.9 Indonesia
GREEN
1 09 May 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 74 63000 people no people -9, 128.6 Indonesia
GREEN
1 10 May 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 74 130000 people no people -9.2, 128.1 Timor-Leste
GREEN
1 10 May 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 65 1.5 million people no people -9.2, 126.8 Indonesia
GREEN
1 11 May 2019 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -8.7, 124.6 Timor-Leste
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
Indonesia
Timor-Leste

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Maluku Indonesia 1.9 million people
Timor-Leste Timor-Leste 850000 people
Nusa Tenggara Timur Indonesia 3.5 million people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Dili Timor-Leste Capital 150000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Baucau BCH 526 Civ. Paved No 8200
Viqueque VIQ unknown 0
Comoro DIL 3 Civ. Paved Yes 6000
Covalima 29 0
Atambua Haliwen ABU unknown 0
Alor ARD unknown 0
Mali 3 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Sermata Island Indonesia
Moa Island Indonesia
Dili Timor-Leste
Dilli Timor-Leste
Atapupu Indonesia
Kalabahi Indonesia
Alor Island Indonesia

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Roefroefoea, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 09 May 2019 13:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (141 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 09 May 2019 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 May 2019 13:00 Roefroefoea Indonesia  0.6
09 May 2019 14:00 Naoer Indonesia  0.5
10 May 2019 06:00 Minjilang Australia  0.5
09 May 2019 13:00 Sanindara Indonesia  0.5
09 May 2019 13:00 Agatebi Indonesia  0.5
10 May 2019 07:00 Kolono Indonesia  0.4
10 May 2019 07:00 Koroni Indonesia  0.4
10 May 2019 07:00 Bangbong Indonesia  0.4
10 May 2019 07:00 Roode Huk Indonesia  0.4
10 May 2019 07:00 Tuetue Indonesia  0.4
10 May 2019 07:00 Labuban-Tobelo Indonesia  0.4
09 May 2019 13:00 Sajengga Indonesia  0.4
09 May 2019 13:00 Sakaoeni Indonesia  0.4
09 May 2019 14:00 Tambani Indonesia  0.4
09 May 2019 10:00 Kobadangar Indonesia  0.4
09 May 2019 13:00 Moegoetira Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 13:00 Aoem Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 10:00 Pono Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 09:00 Semisir Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 13:00 Kamboeriami Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 13:00 Kinara Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 15:00 Numbulwar Australia  0.3
09 May 2019 13:00 Tanam Indonesia  0.3
10 May 2019 07:00 Soengaibali Indonesia  0.3
10 May 2019 06:00 Waijaar Indonesia  0.3
10 May 2019 06:00 Waiwo Indonesia  0.3
10 May 2019 06:00 Matoegoe Indonesia  0.3
10 May 2019 06:00 Salebam Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 10:00 Basada Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 09:00 Pagatan Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 09:00 Salinau Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 09:00 Semaras Indonesia  0.3
10 May 2019 05:00 Okaoka Indonesia  0.3
10 May 2019 05:00 Teloekkapalpetjah Indonesia  0.3
10 May 2019 05:00 Tungkaranasam Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 14:00 Saga Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 14:00 Sege Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 08:00 Karwai Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 08:00 Kobroor Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 08:00 Kedjabi Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 08:00 Rabal Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 09:00 Boenati Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 17:00 Kasiputih Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 14:00 Kaisweri Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 09:00 Kangoerma Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 16:00 Lakara Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 16:00 Toroboeloe Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 06:00 Wonti Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 06:00 Samberbaba Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 06:00 Kurunui Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 06:00 Paparoe Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 06:00 Rori Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 14:00 Tanisepta Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 14:00 Ranibo Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 14:00 Degen Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 06:00 Kualalupak Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 06:00 Aluhaluh Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 06:00 Tambakkarangan Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 06:00 Tabanio Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 06:00 Bawahalajung Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 11:00 Dolatanden Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 18:00 Laora Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 07:00 Sekapoeng Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 18:00 Daole Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 16:00 Wansabari Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 16:00 Nhulunbuy Australia  0.2
09 May 2019 08:00 Keojabi Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 09:00 Tapianbalai Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 11:00 Pagetan Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 18:00 Caburinga Village Australia  0.2
09 May 2019 14:00 Alyangula Australia  0.2
09 May 2019 17:00 Pamandali Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 10:00 Bapuju Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 10:00 Bahaur Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 14:00 Inanwatatan Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 08:00 Dombo Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 20:00 Larrakeyah Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 20:00 Fannie Bay Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 20:00 Parap Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 20:00 Darwin Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 20:00 Nightcliff Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 20:00 Ludmilla Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 20:00 Bagot Australia  0.2
09 May 2019 16:00 Roliai Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Tinangea Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 17:00 Tioro Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 17:00 Tampo Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 17:00 Napabalana Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 08:00 Sewer Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 08:00 Karaum Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 07:00 Serikoberi Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 12:00 Kladar Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 12:00 Sabon Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 12:00 Tor Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Meatil Miarang Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Regola Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 20:00 Ponta Beaco Timor-Leste  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Sawarangan Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 15:00 Batumea Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 15:00 Lampeapi Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 17:00 Kembano Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Siota Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Klis Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Toenwawang Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Moanga Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Letoda Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Keti Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Sera Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Lolotuara Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Polau Lakor Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Elo Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Romkisar Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Lelang Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 17:00 Masara Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 17:00 Gove Australia  0.1
09 May 2019 17:00 Yirrkala Mission Australia  0.1
09 May 2019 17:00 Yirrkala Australia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Tampoena Wo Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 04:00 Ponta Carimbala Timor-Leste  0.1
11 May 2019 04:00 Morai Timor-Leste  0.1
10 May 2019 22:00 Kicras Timor-Leste  0.1
09 May 2019 10:00 Iliamar Timor-Leste  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Batakam Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Rumba Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 16:00 Walue Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Wakarleli Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Kaiwatu Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Patti Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 07:00 Sorong Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 07:00 Papermaranda Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 10:00 Uatolari Timor-Leste  0.1
09 May 2019 10:00 Mau-Pitine Timor-Leste  0.1
09 May 2019 10:00 Tutuala Timor-Leste  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Tandjung Tudpateh Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Noewewan Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Serwaru Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Luhulele Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 13:00 Malagots Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 08:00 Koeroedoe Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 08:00 Bendjoering Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 05:00 Kui Indonesia  0.1