Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LILI-19
in Timor-Leste, Indonesia
GDACS
Impact Single TC
Impact all weather systems in the area
.

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LILI-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (JTWC)
Exposed countries Timor-Leste, Indonesia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (09 May 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability -- (Timor-Leste)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 65 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 83 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

65 km/h Current

Up to 310000 people in Tropical storm (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 09 May 2019 06:00 74 1.6 million No people Indonesia, Timor-Leste
Green 2 09 May 2019 12:00 83 1.8 million No people Indonesia, Timor-Leste
Green 3 09 May 2019 18:00 83 100 thousand No people Indonesia, Timor-Leste
Green 4 10 May 2019 00:00 74 20 thousand No people Indonesia
Green 5 10 May 2019 06:00 65 460 thousand No people Indonesia, Timor-Leste
Green 6 10 May 2019 12:00 65 370 thousand No people Indonesia, Timor-Leste
Green 7 10 May 2019 18:00 65 320 thousand No people Timor-Leste, Indonesia

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 09 May 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 65 63000 people no people -8.7, 128.9 Indonesia
GREEN
2 09 May 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -9.1, 128.9 Indonesia
GREEN
3 09 May 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -9.4, 129.1
GREEN
4 10 May 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -9.9, 129.1
GREEN
5 10 May 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 65 1100 people no people -9.3, 128.6 Timor-Leste
GREEN
6 10 May 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 65 7700 people no people -9.3, 128.5 Timor-Leste
GREEN
7 10 May 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 65 290000 people no people -9.2, 127.7 Timor-Leste
GREEN
7 11 May 2019 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -9, 126.6 Timor-Leste
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
Timor-Leste
Indonesia

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Timor-Leste Timor-Leste 850000 people
Maluku Indonesia 1.9 million people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft) Distance
Viqueque VIQ unknown 0 151 km
Baucau BCH 526 Civ. Paved No 8200 163 km

Ports

Name LOCODE Country Distance
Sermata Island Indonesia 167 km

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Sanindara, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 09 May 2019 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (125 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 7 of 10 May 2019 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 May 2019 12:00 Sanindara Indonesia  0.5
09 May 2019 13:00 Roefroefoea Indonesia  0.5
09 May 2019 12:00 Naoer Indonesia  0.5
09 May 2019 12:00 Minjilang Australia  0.4
09 May 2019 12:00 Agatebi Indonesia  0.4
09 May 2019 12:00 Sajengga Indonesia  0.4
09 May 2019 12:00 Sakaoeni Indonesia  0.4
09 May 2019 12:00 Tambani Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 09:00 Semisir Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 10:00 Bapuju Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 10:00 Bahaur Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 10:00 Kualalupak Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 10:00 Aluhaluh Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 10:00 Tambakkarangan Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 10:00 Tabanio Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 10:00 Bawahalajung Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 12:00 Aoem Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 12:00 Moegoetira Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 12:00 Kembano Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 12:00 Kolono Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 12:00 Rumba Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 12:00 Koroni Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 12:00 Bangbong Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 12:00 Roode Huk Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 12:00 Tuetue Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 12:00 Walue Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 12:00 Labuban-Tobelo Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 12:00 Kamboeriami Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 12:00 Kinara Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 12:00 Tanam Indonesia  0.3
09 May 2019 09:00 Pagatan Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 09:00 Salinau Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 09:00 Semaras Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 10:00 Pagetan Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 15:00 Numbulwar Australia  0.2
09 May 2019 08:00 Basada Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 08:00 Karwai Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 08:00 Kobroor Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 08:00 Kedjabi Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 08:00 Rabal Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 21:00 Caburinga Village Australia  0.2
10 May 2019 17:00 Waijaar Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 17:00 Waiwo Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 17:00 Matoegoe Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 17:00 Salebam Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 19:00 Soengaibali Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 09:00 Boenati Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 09:00 Okaoka Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 12:00 Saga Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 09:00 Kangoerma Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 12:00 Kaisweri Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 09:00 Pagatan Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 11:00 Dolatanden Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 10:00 Paparoe Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 10:00 Rori Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 11:00 Kandangan Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 12:00 Masara Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 12:00 Tanisepta Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 12:00 Ranibo Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 12:00 Degen Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 11:00 Batakam Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 08:00 Keojabi Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 09:00 Tapianbalai Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 12:00 Kasiputih Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 19:00 Sekapoeng Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 10:00 Lakara Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 10:00 Toroboeloe Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 20:00 Nhulunbuy Australia  0.2
09 May 2019 12:00 Inanwatatan Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 12:00 Sege Indonesia  0.2
09 May 2019 14:00 Alyangula Australia  0.2
09 May 2019 08:00 Dombo Indonesia  0.2
10 May 2019 22:00 Larrakeyah Australia  0.2
09 May 2019 11:00 Wansabari Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 06:00 Ponta Beaco Timor-Leste  0.1
10 May 2019 23:00 Fannie Bay Australia  0.1
10 May 2019 23:00 Parap Australia  0.1
10 May 2019 23:00 Darwin Australia  0.1
10 May 2019 22:00 Nightcliff Australia  0.1
10 May 2019 23:00 Ludmilla Australia  0.1
10 May 2019 23:00 Bagot Australia  0.1
09 May 2019 12:00 Laora Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 04:00 Lore Timor-Leste  0.1
09 May 2019 12:00 Kladar Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 12:00 Sabon Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 12:00 Tor Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 08:00 Sewer Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 08:00 Karaum Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 18:00 Daole Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 12:00 Pamandali Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 07:00 Serikoberi Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Sawarangan Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 12:00 Roliai Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 12:00 Tinangea Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 12:00 Tioro Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 12:00 Tampo Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 12:00 Napabalana Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Elo Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Romkisar Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Lelang Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Regola Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 06:00 Uatolari Timor-Leste  0.1
10 May 2019 22:00 Mau-Pitine Timor-Leste  0.1
09 May 2019 12:00 Setiroek Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 09:00 Koeroedoe Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Siota Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 17:00 Klis Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Toenwawang Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Moanga Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Letoda Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Keti Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Sera Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Lolotuara Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 11:00 Polau Lakor Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 10:00 Meatil Miarang Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 07:00 Sorong Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 07:00 Papermaranda Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 10:00 Teloekkapalpetjah Indonesia  0.1
11 May 2019 04:00 Iliamar Timor-Leste  0.1
10 May 2019 17:00 Tutuala Timor-Leste  0.1
10 May 2019 17:00 Tandjung Tudpateh Indonesia  0.1
10 May 2019 17:00 Luhulele Indonesia  0.1
09 May 2019 17:00 Gove Australia  0.1
09 May 2019 17:00 Yirrkala Mission Australia  0.1
09 May 2019 17:00 Yirrkala Australia  0.1